La Liga · 2024Fri, 2 May 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Rayo Vallecano

WLLDL

1–0Full-time recap

Getafe

LWLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Rayo Vallecano	Getafe
Shots	13 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.37 xG/match▲	0.84 xG/match
Possession	59%●	41%
Corners	7 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 13 shots, 8 on target, 1.26 xG. Getafe: 12 shots, 1 on target, 0.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 1.26 xG · Getafe 0.88 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.06 goals/match	1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.1 fouls/matchFoulsRayo Vallecano · Getafe16.2 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Rayo Vallecano	Getafe	Baseline
Fouls	14.1 fouls/match	16.2 fouls/match	12.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Rayo Vallecano have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.6%●PossessionRayo Vallecano · Getafe42.1%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Rayo Vallecano	Getafe	Baseline
Possession	51.6%	42.1%	49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Rayo Vallecano

4Draws

0Getafe

24 Aug 2024Getafe — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–0

13 Apr 2024Rayo Vallecano — Getafe · La Liga0–0

2 Jan 2024Getafe — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–2

12 Feb 2023Getafe — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–1

14 Oct 2022Rayo Vallecano — Getafe · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Rayo Vallecano favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Getafe in 6 · 2 too close

1.06 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 34/340.91 goals/match

1.24 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/34▲0.91 goals/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 34/341.01 xG/match

1.31 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 34/34▲1.2 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 34/3411.7 shots/match

12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/34▲9.71 shots/match

4.26 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 34/343.53 shots/match

4.21 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/34▲3.26 shots/match

51.6%●Possessionseason · 34/3442.1%

5.03 corners/match●Cornersseason · 34/343.91 corners/match

4.85 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/34▲3.85 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3416.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

24%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/34▲26%

76%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3459%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rayo Vallecano67.5

Getafe12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rayo Vallecano55.8

Getafe35.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rayo Vallecano42.5

Getafe85.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rayo Vallecano67.5

Getafe92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano87.5

Getafe92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano57.5

Getafe27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rayo Vallecano71.2

Getafe53.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano34 matchesGetafe34 matches

1.06 goals/match▲Goals scored34/340.91 goals/match

1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲0.91 goals/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals34/341.01 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots34/3411.7 shots/match

4.26 shots/match▲Shots on target34/343.53 shots/match

51.6%●Possession34/3442.1%

5.03 corners/match●Corners34/343.91 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.1 fouls/matchFouls34/3416.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Rayo Vallecano17 matchesGetafe17 matches

1.29 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171 goals/match

1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲0.94 goals/match

1.36 xG/match▲Expected goals17/170.85 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots17/1710.8 shots/match

5.41 shots/match▲Shots on target17/173.29 shots/match

55.1%●Possession17/1737.3%

5.18 corners/match●Corners17/174 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1716.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.98 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 2 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4