La Liga · 2024Sat, 24 May 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Leganés

DDWLW

3–0Full-time recap

Real Valladolid

LLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Leganés	Real Valladolid
Shots	16 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.15 xG/match▲	0.37 xG/match
Possession	55%●	45%
Corners	3 corners/match	4 corners/match●
Fouls	11 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Leganés: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.09 xG. Real Valladolid: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leganés 2.09 xG · Real Valladolid 0.40 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leganés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Leganés, Real Valladolid. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Leganés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leganés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.03 goals/match	1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Leganés, Real Valladolid.

5.98 days▲Rest daysLeganés · Real Valladolid5.98 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Leganés	Real Valladolid	Baseline
Rest days	5.98 days	5.98 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Leganés

1Draws

0Real Valladolid

28 Aug 2024Real Valladolid — Leganés · La Liga0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leganés favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Real Valladolid in 1 · 4 too close

1.03 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 38/380.68 goals/match

1.47 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 38/382.37 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 38/380.92 xG/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 38/381.82 xG/match

9.26 shots/matchShotsseason · 38/388.84 shots/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 38/3815.8 shots/match

3.08 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 38/382.76 shots/match

4.74 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 38/385.5 shots/match

42.5%Possessionseason · 38/38●42.6%

2.97 corners/matchCornersseason · 38/38●4.11 corners/match

6.26 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 38/38▲5.13 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3812.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/3813%

63%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 38/3858%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leganés12.5

Real Valladolid17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leganés17.5

Real Valladolid4.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leganés20.8

Real Valladolid2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leganés27.5

Real Valladolid12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leganés75

Real Valladolid42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leganés2.5

Real Valladolid27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leganés25.6

Real Valladolid20

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leganés38 matchesReal Valladolid38 matches

1.03 goals/match▲Goals scored38/380.68 goals/match

1.47 goals/match▲Goals allowed38/382.37 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goals38/380.92 xG/match

9.26 shots/matchShots38/388.84 shots/match

3.08 shots/match▲Shots on target38/382.76 shots/match

42.5%Possession38/38●42.6%

2.97 corners/matchCorners38/38●4.11 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls38/3812.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leganés19 matchesReal Valladolid19 matches

1.21 goals/match▲Goals scored19/190.79 goals/match

1.42 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/193.05 goals/match

1.06 xG/match▲Expected goals19/190.85 xG/match

8.89 shots/match▲Shots19/198.11 shots/match

2.89 shots/matchShots on target19/193 shots/match

44.2%●Possession19/1941.5%

2.68 corners/matchCorners19/19●3.95 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.5 fouls/matchFouls19/1912 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.98 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples38 / 38home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 May 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4