La Liga · 2024Sat, 24 May 2025, 14:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal MadridReal Sociedad
Shots16 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals2.49 xG/match0.8 xG/match
Possession62%38%
Corners11 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Federico Valverde · Real Madrid · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 63′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFran García · Real Madrid · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArkaitz Mariezkurrena · Real Sociedad · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJon Ander Olasagasti · Real Sociedad · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnder Barrenetxea · Real Sociedad · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 79′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Asencio · Real Madrid · 21′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLucas Vázquez · Real Madrid · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 83′ · 0.09 xG · goalPablo Marín · Real Sociedad · 27′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 62′ · 0.22 xG · on targetSergio Gómez · Real Sociedad · 9′ · 0.35 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 13′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 7′ · 0.55 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 38′ · 0.68 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 38′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 16 shots, 8 on target, 3.11 xG. Real Sociedad: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 38′Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 3.11 xG · Real Sociedad 0.79 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.7 shots/matchShotsReal Madrid · Real Sociedad10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridReal SociedadBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match10.2 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Real Sociedad have a visible away split

moderate

Real Sociedad's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.42 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.42 shots/match10.2 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Real Madrid
1Draws
1Real Sociedad
Real SociedadReal Madrid · La Liga02
Real SociedadReal Madrid · La Liga01
Real MadridReal Sociedad · La Liga21
Real SociedadReal Madrid · La Liga20
Real MadridReal Sociedad · La Liga00

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Madrid favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 0 · 3 too close

2.05 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 38/380.92 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 38/381.21 goals/match
2.03 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 38/381.13 xG/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 38/381.16 xG/match
16.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 38/3810.2 shots/match
10.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 38/3811.6 shots/match
6.55 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 38/383.45 shots/match
3.37 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 38/383.79 shots/match
60.5%Possessionseason · 38/3854%
6.39 corners/matchCornersseason · 38/385.68 corners/match
4.24 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 38/384.71 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
8.74 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3813.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
39%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/3834%
95%Scoring frequencyseason · 38/3850%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Madrid92.5
Real Sociedad82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Madrid92.5
Real Sociedad24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Madrid78.3
Real Sociedad60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Madrid87.5
Real Sociedad7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid2.5
Real Sociedad75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid92.5
Real Sociedad87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Madrid70
Real Sociedad55.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Madrid38 matchesReal Sociedad38 matches
2.05 goals/matchGoals scored38/380.92 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed38/381.21 goals/match
2.03 xG/matchExpected goals38/381.13 xG/match
16.7 shots/matchShots38/3810.2 shots/match
6.55 shots/matchShots on target38/383.45 shots/match
60.5%Possession38/3854%
6.39 corners/matchCorners38/385.68 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.74 fouls/matchFouls38/3813.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Madrid19 matchesReal Sociedad19 matches
2.37 goals/matchGoals scored19/190.79 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.37 goals/match
2.48 xG/matchExpected goals19/190.99 xG/match
19.3 shots/matchShots19/198.42 shots/match
7.63 shots/matchShots on target19/192.68 shots/match
62.5%Possession19/1950.3%
8.42 corners/matchCorners19/194.63 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.21 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.89 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.89 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 May 2025, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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