PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sun, 18 May 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLas PalmasLeganés
Shots12 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.63 xG/match1.56 xG/match▲
Possession71%●29%
Corners9 corners/match●2 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Renato Tapia · Leganés · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetScott McKenna · Las Palmas · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Loiodice · Las Palmas · 10′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDani Raba · Leganés · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergio Vieira · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 4′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDiego García · Leganés · 55′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedScott McKenna · Las Palmas · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMunir El Haddadi · Leganés · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cruz · Leganés · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenito Ramírez · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cruz · Leganés · 47′ · 0.07 xG · on targetÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 76′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJuanma Herzog · Las Palmas · 5′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDani Raba · Leganés · 6′ · 0.10 xG · goalScott McKenna · Las Palmas · 3′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedJorge Sáenz · Leganés · 41′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedSeydouba Cisse · Leganés · 65′ · 0.68 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Las Palmas: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.66 xG. Leganés: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Dani Raba · Leganés · 6′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 0.66 xG · Leganés 1.48 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Leganés. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Leganés.

4.9 days▲Rest daysLas Palmas · Leganés4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLas PalmasLeganésBaseline
Rest days4.9 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Las Palmas have a visible home split

moderate

Las Palmas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Las Palmas
0Draws
1Leganés
Leganés — Las Palmas · La Liga2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Las Palmas favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Leganés in 3 · 5 too close

1.08 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 37/370.97 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 37/37▲1.51 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 37/370.93 xG/match
1.8 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 37/37▲1.59 xG/match
10.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 37/379.08 shots/match
14.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 37/3715.1 shots/match
3.7 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 37/373 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 37/374.81 shots/match
50.8%●Possessionseason · 37/3742.2%
4.16 corners/match●Cornersseason · 37/372.97 corners/match
5.27 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 37/376.32 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3713.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
11%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/37▲27%
73%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 37/3762%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Las Palmas57.5
Leganés12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Las Palmas45
Leganés15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Las Palmas15.8
Leganés16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Las Palmas22.5
Leganés27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas37.5
Leganés72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas32.5
Leganés2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Las Palmas41.2
Leganés24.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Las Palmas37 matchesLeganés37 matches
1.08 goals/match▲Goals scored37/370.97 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲1.51 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals37/370.93 xG/match
10.9 shots/match▲Shots37/379.08 shots/match
3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target37/373 shots/match
50.8%●Possession37/3742.2%
4.16 corners/match●Corners37/372.97 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFouls37/3713.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Las Palmas19 matchesLeganés19 matches
1.11 goals/match▲Goals scored19/190.84 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.53 goals/match
1.14 xG/match▲Expected goals19/190.87 xG/match
13.2 shots/match▲Shots19/199.63 shots/match
4.05 shots/match▲Shots on target19/193.26 shots/match
53.4%●Possession19/1940.8%
5.21 corners/match●Corners19/193.26 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.4 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 May 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLas PalmasLeganés
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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