La Liga · 2024Sun, 18 May 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Valladolid

LLLLL

0–1Full-time recap

Deportivo Alavés

DWDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Valladolid	Deportivo Alavés
Shots	7 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.45 xG/match▲	1.3 xG/match
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	5 corners/match	9 corners/match●
Fouls	12 fouls/match	24 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Valladolid: 7 shots, 1 on target, 1.60 xG. Deportivo Alavés: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Valladolid 1.60 xG · Deportivo Alavés 1.39 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Deportivo Alavés. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Deportivo Alavés.

5 days▲Rest daysReal Valladolid · Deportivo Alavés4 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Real Valladolid	Deportivo Alavés	Baseline
Rest days	5 days	4 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Deportivo Alavés show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Deportivo Alavés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.92 shots/match▲ShotsReal Valladolid · Deportivo Alavés10.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Valladolid	Deportivo Alavés	Baseline
Shots	8.92 shots/match	10.5 shots/match	11.2 shots/match
Shots against	15.8 shots/match	10.5 shots/match	11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Real Valladolid

0Draws

0Deportivo Alavés

18 Oct 2024Deportivo Alavés — Real Valladolid · La Liga2–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Valladolid favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 11 · 2 too close

0.7 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 37/37▲1 goals/match

2.35 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 37/37▲1.27 goals/match

0.93 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 37/37▲1.13 xG/match

1.81 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 37/37▲1.23 xG/match

8.92 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/37▲10.5 shots/match

15.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 37/37▲10.5 shots/match

2.78 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 37/37▲3.51 shots/match

5.49 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 37/37▲3.49 shots/match

42.6%Possessionseason · 37/37●45.2%

4.11 corners/matchCornersseason · 37/37●4.78 corners/match

5.19 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 37/37▲4.54 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3716.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/37▲24%

59%Scoring frequencyseason · 37/37▲65%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Valladolid17.5

Deportivo Alavés22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Valladolid4.2

Deportivo Alavés33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Valladolid2.5

Deportivo Alavés70.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Valladolid12.5

Deportivo Alavés47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Valladolid42.5

Deportivo Alavés97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Valladolid27.5

Deportivo Alavés42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Valladolid20

Deportivo Alavés53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Valladolid37 matchesDeportivo Alavés37 matches

0.7 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲1 goals/match

2.35 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲1.27 goals/match

0.93 xG/matchExpected goals37/37▲1.13 xG/match

8.92 shots/matchShots37/37▲10.5 shots/match

2.78 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲3.51 shots/match

42.6%Possession37/37●45.2%

4.11 corners/matchCorners37/37●4.78 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls37/3716.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Valladolid19 matchesDeportivo Alavés19 matches

0.58 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.26 goals/match

1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.63 goals/match

0.99 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲1.18 xG/match

9.58 shots/matchShots19/19▲10.6 shots/match

2.53 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲3.58 shots/match

43.8%Possession19/19●44.2%

4.26 corners/match●Corners19/193.79 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1917.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples37 / 37home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 May 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4