PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Luton Town 1–2 West Ham United · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

West Ham United won 1–2.

Shots
169
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
1.471.03
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

West Ham United beat Luton Town 2–1. Recorded in this match (Luton Town – West Ham United): shots 16–9, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 1.47–1.03, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsLuton Town 16 shots, West Ham United 9 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsLuton Town 1 shot, West Ham United 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.47 xG1.03 xGLuton Town 1.47 xG, West Ham United 1.03 xG
  • Possession39%61%Luton Town 39%, West Ham United 61%
  • Corners9 corners6 cornersLuton Town 9 corners, West Ham United 6 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsLuton Town 8 fouls, West Ham United 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Saïd Benrahma · West Ham United · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Doughty · Luton Town · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · West Ham United · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSaïd Benrahma · West Ham United · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTahith Chong · Luton Town · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChiedozie Ogbene · Luton Town · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoss Barkley · Luton Town · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlton Morris · Luton Town · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedReece Burke · Luton Town · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · West Ham United · 36′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMads Andersen · Luton Town · 24′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedElijah Adebayo · Luton Town · 39′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedReece Burke · Luton Town · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · West Ham United · 54′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRoss Barkley · Luton Town · 15′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedCarlton Morris · Luton Town · 83′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMads Andersen · Luton Town · 90′ · 0.13 xG · goalEdson Álvarez · West Ham United · 36′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedReece Burke · Luton Town · 44′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedElijah Adebayo · Luton Town · 57′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedTahith Chong · Luton Town · 44′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedElijah Adebayo · Luton Town · 57′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedKurt Zouma · West Ham United · 85′ · 0.19 xG · goalJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 37′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Luton Town: 16 shots, 1 on target, 1.48 xG. West Ham United: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mads Andersen · Luton Town · 90′Jarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 37′Kurt Zouma · West Ham United · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Luton Town 1.48 xG · West Ham United 1.01 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Luton Town favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · West Ham United in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Luton Town3 matchesWest Ham United4 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/4▲ 2.25 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed3/4▲ 1 goal/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals3/4▲ 1.78 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots3/412.3 shots/match
1.67 shots/matchShots on target3/4▲ 4.75 shots/match
33.7%Possession3/4● 36%
6.67 corners/match ●Corners3/44.25 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/412 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 1 Sept 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLuton TownWest Ham United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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