Premier League · 2023Fri, 1 Sept 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Luton Town

1–2Full-time recap

West Ham United

DWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Luton Town	West Ham United
Shots	16 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	1 shots/match	3 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.47 xG/match▲	1.03 xG/match
Possession	39%	61%●
Corners	9 corners/match●	6 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Luton Town: 16 shots, 1 on target, 1.48 xG. West Ham United: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Luton Town 1.48 xG · West Ham United 1.01 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Luton Town favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 0 · 13 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/42.25 goals/match

3 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/41 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/41.78 xG/match

2.44 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/41.7 xG/match

12 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/412.3 shots/match

18.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/418 shots/match

1.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/44.75 shots/match

7.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/45 shots/match

33.7%Possessionseason · 3/4●36%

6.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/44.25 corners/match

6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/411.3 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/412 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/40%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Luton Town2.6

West Ham United18.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Luton Town13.1

West Ham United48.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Luton Town8.8

West Ham United50.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Luton Town97.4

West Ham United76.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Luton Town31.6

West Ham United65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Luton Town68.4

West Ham United28.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Luton Town30.2

West Ham United38.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Luton Town3 matchesWest Ham United4 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/4▲2.25 goals/match

3 goals/matchGoals allowed3/4▲1 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals3/4▲1.78 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots3/412.3 shots/match

1.67 shots/matchShots on target3/4▲4.75 shots/match

33.7%Possession3/4●36%

6.67 corners/match●Corners3/44.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/412 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Luton Town1 matchesWest Ham United3 matches

—Goals scored1/32 goals/match

—Goals allowed1/31 goals/match

—Expected goals1/31.78 xG/match

—Shots1/312.3 shots/match

—Shots on target1/34.33 shots/match

—Possession1/340%

—Corners1/34.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls1/312 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.1 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 1 Sept 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4