Premier League · 2023Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 15:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
08Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield UnitedNewcastle United
Shots9 shots/match22 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match15 shots/match
Expected goals0.94 xG/match3.92 xG/match
Possession42%58%
Corners2 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Vinícius Souza · Sheffield United · 18′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMiguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCallum Wilson · Newcastle United · 38′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTom Davies · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSven Botman · Newcastle United · 35′ · 0.05 xG · goalAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 61′ · 0.05 xG · goalSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 80′ · 0.06 xG · on targetTom Davies · Sheffield United · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCallum Wilson · Newcastle United · 7′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLuke Thomas · Sheffield United · 3′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 30′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAnel Ahmedhodžić · Sheffield United · 71′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLuke Thomas · Sheffield United · 14′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDan Burn · Newcastle United · 31′ · 0.16 xG · goalDan Burn · Newcastle United · 81′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedCallum Wilson · Newcastle United · 33′ · 0.19 xG · on targetSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 21′ · 0.24 xG · goalMiguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 68′ · 0.26 xG · goalCallum Wilson · Newcastle United · 43′ · 0.27 xG · on targetBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 73′ · 0.28 xG · goalJack Robinson · Sheffield United · 25′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 61′ · 0.53 xG · on targetCallum Wilson · Newcastle United · 56′ · 0.60 xG · goalAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 87′ · 0.62 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield United: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.94 xG. Newcastle United: 22 shots, 15 on target, 3.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Sean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 21′Dan Burn · Newcastle United · 31′Sven Botman · Newcastle United · 35′Callum Wilson · Newcastle United · 56′Anthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 61′Miguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 68′Bruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 73′Alexander Isak · Newcastle United · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 0.94 xG · Newcastle United 3.89 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Newcastle United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.33 shots/matchShotsSheffield United · Newcastle United14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match14.5 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against22.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Newcastle United have recorded the higher season possession share.

36.7%PossessionSheffield United · Newcastle United52%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Possession36.7%52%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sheffield United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 11 · 2 too close

0.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/62.67 goals/match
2.83 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/61.17 goals/match
0.75 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/62.05 xG/match
2.59 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/61.07 xG/match
8.33 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/614.5 shots/match
22.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/612.3 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/66.83 shots/match
8.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/63.83 shots/match
36.7%Possessionseason · 6/652%
3.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/64.5 corners/match
8.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/64.5 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/612 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/683%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield United17.5
Newcastle United67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield United15
Newcastle United78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield United2.5
Newcastle United70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield United17.5
Newcastle United37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United87.5
Newcastle United77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United10
Newcastle United42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield United30
Newcastle United66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sheffield United6 matchesNewcastle United6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/62.67 goals/match
2.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.17 goals/match
0.75 xG/matchExpected goals6/62.05 xG/match
8.33 shots/matchShots6/614.5 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/66.83 shots/match
36.7%Possession6/652%
3.5 corners/matchCorners6/64.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.5 fouls/matchFouls6/612 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sheffield United4 matchesNewcastle United3 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/33 goals/match
3.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/31.33 goals/match
0.83 xG/matchExpected goals4/31.81 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots4/312.7 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/36 shots/match
35%Possession4/347.7%
3 corners/matchCorners4/32.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls4/312 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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