Premier League · 2023Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

West Ham United

WWLLW

2–2Full-time recap

Newcastle United

LLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham United	Newcastle United
Shots	5 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.16 xG/match	2.01 xG/match▲
Possession	35%	65%●
Corners	4 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

West Ham United: 5 shots, 3 on target, 1.21 xG. Newcastle United: 10 shots, 3 on target, 2.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 1.21 xG · Newcastle United 2.02 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Newcastle United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Newcastle United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsWest Ham United · Newcastle United14.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	West Ham United	Newcastle United	Baseline
Shots	11.4 shots/match	14.6 shots/match	14 shots/match
Shots against	18.6 shots/match	10.9 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Newcastle United have a visible away split

weak

Newcastle United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season14.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	12 shots/match	14.6 shots/match	14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Newcastle United have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.4%PossessionWest Ham United · Newcastle United●53.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	West Ham United	Newcastle United	Baseline
Possession	37.4%	53.8%	49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1West Ham United

2Draws

1Newcastle United

5 Apr 2023West Ham United — Newcastle United · Premier League1–5

4 Feb 2023Newcastle United — West Ham United · Premier League1–1

19 Feb 2022West Ham United — Newcastle United · Premier League1–1

15 Aug 2021Newcastle United — West Ham United · Premier League2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 10 · 2 too close

1.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲2.5 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.13 goals/match

1.56 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/8▲2.18 xG/match

2.07 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.03 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲14.6 shots/match

18.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲10.9 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲6.5 shots/match

5.88 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲3.5 shots/match

37.4%Possessionseason · 8/8●53.8%

4.5 corners/match●Cornersseason · 8/84.25 corners/match

8.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/8▲4.25 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/812.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/8▲38%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 8/888%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United7.5

Newcastle United72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United47.5

Newcastle United77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United25.8

Newcastle United79.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United72.5

Newcastle United47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United22.5

Newcastle United72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United27.5

Newcastle United22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United32.5

Newcastle United58.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United8 matchesNewcastle United8 matches

1.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲2.5 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.13 goals/match

1.56 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲2.18 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots8/8▲14.6 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲6.5 shots/match

37.4%Possession8/8●53.8%

4.5 corners/match●Corners8/84.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls8/812.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United4 matchesNewcastle United4 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.75 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.86 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲12 shots/match

5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/45.25 shots/match

35.8%Possession4/4●52%

4.5 corners/match●Corners4/42.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls4/413.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4