Premier League · 2023

Wolverhampton 1–1 Aston Villa · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wolverhampton and Aston Villa drew 1–1.

Shots
818
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.681.61
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wolverhampton and Aston Villa drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – Aston Villa): shots 8–18, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.68–1.61, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolverhampton's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.4 shots/match10.9 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsWolverhampton · Aston Villa15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonAston VillaBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match15.3 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against17.4 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots18 shotsWolverhampton 8 shots, Aston Villa 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsWolverhampton 3 shots, Aston Villa 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.68 xG1.61 xGWolverhampton 1.68 xG, Aston Villa 1.61 xG
  • Possession46%54%Wolverhampton 46%, Aston Villa 54%
  • Corners2 corners10 cornersWolverhampton 2 corners, Aston Villa 10 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls9 foulsWolverhampton 19 fouls, Aston Villa 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Matty Cash · Aston Villa · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDouglas Luiz · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJohn McGinn · Aston Villa · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEzri Konsa · Aston Villa · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDouglas Luiz · Aston Villa · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHwang Hee-chan · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDouglas Luiz · Aston Villa · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDouglas Luiz · Aston Villa · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDouglas Luiz · Aston Villa · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPau Torres · Aston Villa · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 46′ · 0.08 xG · on targetOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJohn McGinn · Aston Villa · 17′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDouglas Luiz · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 33′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 7′ · 0.17 xG · on targetSaša Kalajdžić · Wolverhampton · 83′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedEzri Konsa · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.21 xG · on targetHwang Hee-chan · Wolverhampton · 53′ · 0.22 xG · goalPau Torres · Aston Villa · 55′ · 0.28 xG · goalNélson Semedo · Wolverhampton · 72′ · 0.46 xG · on targetPedro Neto · Wolverhampton · 78′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wolverhampton: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.63 xG. Aston Villa: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Hwang Hee-chan · Wolverhampton · 53′Pau Torres · Aston Villa · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 1.63 xG · Aston Villa 1.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Wolverhampton
1Draws
0Aston Villa
Wolverhampton — Aston Villa · Premier League1–0
Aston Villa — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–1
Wolverhampton — Aston Villa · Premier League2–1
Aston Villa — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton8 matchesAston Villa8 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.38 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.95 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 15.3 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.88 shots/match
45.1%Possession8/8● 49%
2.63 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.88 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls8/811.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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