PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Manchester City 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 2–1.

Shots
105
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.750.83
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Brighton & Hove Albion): shots 10–5, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.75–0.83, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester City have a visible home split

weak

Manchester City's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match15.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brighton & Hove Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester City · Brighton & Hove Albion15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against6.78 shots/match12.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots5 shotsManchester City 10 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsManchester City 6 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG0.83 xGManchester City 0.75 xG, Brighton & Hove Albion 0.83 xG
  • Possession55%45%Manchester City 55%, Brighton & Hove Albion 45%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersManchester City 2 corners, Brighton & Hove Albion 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsManchester City 9 fouls, Brighton & Hove Albion 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jérémy Doku · Manchester City · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 12′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 19′ · 0.07 xG · goalKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 70′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 52′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 67′ · 0.19 xG · on targetAnsu Fati · Brighton & Hove Albion · 73′ · 0.20 xG · goalJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 7′ · 0.24 xG · goalKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 69′ · 0.30 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester City: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.76 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Julián Alvarez · Manchester City · 7′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 19′Ansu Fati · Brighton & Hove Albion · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 0.76 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 0.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Manchester City
1Draws
0Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion — Manchester City · Premier League1–1
Manchester City — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League3–1
Manchester City — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League3–0
Brighton & Hove Albion — Manchester City · Premier League1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City9 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion9 matches
2.11 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 2.44 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/92 goals/match
1.78 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.94 xG/match
15.7 shots/matchShots9/915.1 shots/match
6.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/96.33 shots/match
63.4% ●Possession9/958.9%
5.89 corners/match ●Corners9/95.44 corners/match
8.78 fouls/matchFouls9/912.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Oct 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester CityBrighton & Hove Albion
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headManchester City — Brighton & Hove Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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