Premier League · 2023Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Crystal Palace

WDLLW

2–3Full-time recap

Everton

LWLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Crystal Palace	Everton
Shots	13 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.17 xG/match▲	1.53 xG/match
Possession	67%●	33%
Corners	9 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Crystal Palace: 13 shots, 4 on target, 2.21 xG. Everton: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 2.21 xG · Everton 1.52 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Everton's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.17 goals/match	1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Everton have a visible away split

moderate

Everton's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.2 shots/match	13.9 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Crystal Palace

1Draws

2Everton

22 Apr 2023Crystal Palace — Everton · Premier League0–0

22 Oct 2022Everton — Crystal Palace · Premier League3–0

19 May 2022Everton — Crystal Palace · Premier League3–2

12 Dec 2021Crystal Palace — Everton · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Everton in 5 · 5 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲1.17 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/121.42 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/12▲1.51 xG/match

1.42 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/12▲1.33 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲13.9 shots/match

12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1212.4 shots/match

4.08 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲4.75 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/123.75 shots/match

43.3%●Possessionseason · 12/1239.8%

4.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/124.75 corners/match

5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/125.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1212.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

42%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1217%

67%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1258%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace32.5

Everton17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace32.5

Everton50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace62.5

Everton63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace62.5

Everton97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace57.5

Everton87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace35

Everton35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace40.6

Everton57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Crystal Palace12 matchesEverton12 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.17 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.42 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲1.51 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShots12/12▲13.9 shots/match

4.08 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲4.75 shots/match

43.3%●Possession12/1239.8%

4.75 corners/matchCorners12/124.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Crystal Palace6 matchesEverton6 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.5 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.27 xG/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots6/611.2 shots/match

4.17 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.83 shots/match

47.3%●Possession6/638.2%

5.17 corners/match●Corners6/64.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls6/612.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match

Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Everton's recent record differs from the season

Everton have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match