PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Bournemouth 2–0 Newcastle United · Premier League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bournemouth won 2–0.

Shots
198
Shots on target
105
Expected goals
2.460.49
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bournemouth beat Newcastle United 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bournemouth – Newcastle United): shots 19–8, shots on target 10–5, expected goals 2.46–0.49, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bournemouth's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Newcastle United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsBournemouth · Newcastle United13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBournemouthNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against16.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Newcastle United have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.4%PossessionBournemouth · Newcastle United● 53.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBournemouthNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Possession42.4%53.3%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsBournemouth 19 shots, Newcastle United 8 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots5 shotsBournemouth 10 shots, Newcastle United 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.46 xG0.49 xGBournemouth 2.46 xG, Newcastle United 0.49 xG
  • Possession48%52%Bournemouth 48%, Newcastle United 52%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersBournemouth 6 corners, Newcastle United 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls4 foulsBournemouth 10 fouls, Newcastle United 4 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lewis Hall · Newcastle United · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatt Ritchie · Newcastle United · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Sinisterra · Bournemouth · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 29′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 8′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 31′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 72′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatt Ritchie · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 2′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 63′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLuis Sinisterra · Bournemouth · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 1′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLuis Sinisterra · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 77′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJoe Willock · Newcastle United · 59′ · 0.14 xG · on targetDango Ouattara · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetLuis Sinisterra · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedLuis Sinisterra · Bournemouth · 81′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 60′ · 0.28 xG · goalDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 73′ · 0.70 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bournemouth: 19 shots, 10 on target, 2.47 xG. Newcastle United: 8 shots, 5 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Dominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 60′Dominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bournemouth 2.47 xG · Newcastle United 0.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bournemouth
2Draws
0Newcastle United
Bournemouth — Newcastle United · Premier League1–1
Newcastle United — Bournemouth · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bournemouth favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bournemouth12 matchesNewcastle United12 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 2.25 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.97 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 13.1 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.92 shots/match
42.4%Possession12/12● 53.3%
4.83 corners/match ●Corners12/124.33 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBournemouthNewcastle United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headBournemouth — Newcastle United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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