PitchMath
Premier League · 2023Sun, 10 Dec 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
4–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTottenham HotspurNewcastle United
Shots23 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target12 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals3.81 xG/match▲1.69 xG/match
Possession56%●44%
Corners3 corners/match6 corners/match●
Fouls10 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ben Davies · Tottenham Hotspur · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoelinton · Newcastle United · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYves Bissouma · Tottenham Hotspur · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCristian Romero · Tottenham Hotspur · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 67′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoelinton · Newcastle United · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 42′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 67′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 63′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 63′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 89′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedCallum Wilson · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMiguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 33′ · 0.15 xG · on targetRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 38′ · 0.16 xG · goalPape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 30′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJoelinton · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.20 xG · goalJoelinton · Newcastle United · 77′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 60′ · 0.34 xG · goalOliver Skipp · Tottenham Hotspur · 88′ · 0.43 xG · on targetAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 9′ · 0.80 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 85′ · 0.82 xG · goalDestiny Udogie · Tottenham Hotspur · 26′ · 0.93 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 23 shots, 11 on target, 3.86 xG. Newcastle United: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Destiny Udogie · Tottenham Hotspur · 26′Richarlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 38′Richarlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 60′Son Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 85′Joelinton · Newcastle United · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 3.86 xG · Newcastle United 1.73 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Newcastle United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham Hotspur, Newcastle United. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Newcastle United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Newcastle United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.06 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham Hotspur, Newcastle United.

2.84 days▲Rest daysTottenham Hotspur · Newcastle United2.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricTottenham HotspurNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Rest days2.84 days2.88 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Tottenham Hotspur have a visible home split

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.5 shots/match16.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Tottenham Hotspur
0Draws
2Newcastle United
Newcastle United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League6–1
Tottenham Hotspur — Newcastle United · Premier League1–2
Tottenham Hotspur — Newcastle United · Premier League5–1
Newcastle United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 5 · 5 too close

2.06 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/162.06 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.31 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 16/16▲1.98 xG/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.35 xG/match
16.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1613.4 shots/match
13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1612.9 shots/match
6.25 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/165.38 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/164.44 shots/match
59.9%●Possessionseason · 16/1653.6%
5.63 corners/match●Cornersseason · 16/164.44 corners/match
6.31 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲5 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲38%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur80
Newcastle United67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur85
Newcastle United63.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur50
Newcastle United59.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur57.5
Newcastle United37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur62.5
Newcastle United40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur65
Newcastle United17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur76.9
Newcastle United43.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur16 matchesNewcastle United16 matches
2.06 goals/matchGoals scored16/162.06 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.31 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲1.98 xG/match
16.5 shots/match▲Shots16/1613.4 shots/match
6.25 shots/match▲Shots on target16/165.38 shots/match
59.9%●Possession16/1653.6%
5.63 corners/match●Corners16/164.44 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1611 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tottenham Hotspur8 matchesNewcastle United8 matches
1.88 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.75 goals/match
1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82.13 goals/match
2.06 xG/match▲Expected goals8/81.67 xG/match
19.5 shots/match▲Shots8/811.4 shots/match
7.63 shots/match▲Shots on target8/84.63 shots/match
59.9%●Possession8/852.8%
6.88 corners/match●Corners8/83.75 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.9 fouls/matchFouls8/811.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.84 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.88 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Dec 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTottenham HotspurNewcastle United
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match
Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath