Premier League · 2023Sun, 10 Dec 2023, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Fulham

LLWLW
50Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFulhamWest Ham United
Shots14 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals2.37 xG/match1.34 xG/match
Possession63%37%
Corners3 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Alex Iwobi · Fulham · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 11′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoão Palhinha · Fulham · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTosin Adarabioyo · Fulham · 41′ · 0.03 xG · goalHarry Wilson · Fulham · 60′ · 0.03 xG · goalJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSaïd Benrahma · West Ham United · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 22′ · 0.09 xG · goalAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 31′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 65′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 40′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDivin Mubama · West Ham United · 84′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedWillian · Fulham · 31′ · 0.15 xG · goalJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 31′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · West Ham United · 66′ · 0.31 xG · on targetWillian · Fulham · 15′ · 0.34 xG · on targetHarry Wilson · Fulham · 56′ · 0.41 xG · on targetJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 39′ · 0.45 xG · on targetCarlos Vinícius · Fulham · 89′ · 0.76 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fulham: 14 shots, 8 on target, 2.38 xG. West Ham United: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Raúl Jiménez · Fulham · 22′Willian · Fulham · 31′Tosin Adarabioyo · Fulham · 41′Harry Wilson · Fulham · 60′Carlos Vinícius · Fulham · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fulham 2.38 xG · West Ham United 1.34 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fulham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fulham, West Ham United. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fulham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.4 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fulham, West Ham United.

3.77 daysRest daysFulham · West Ham United2.74 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFulhamWest Ham UnitedBaseline
Rest days3.77 days2.74 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fulham have a visible home split

moderate

Fulham's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Fulham
0Draws
2West Ham United
FulhamWest Ham United · Premier League01
West Ham UnitedFulham · Premier League31

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Fulham favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 2 · 7 too close

1.63 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/161.63 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/161.88 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 16/161.47 xG/match
1.73 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 16/161.82 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1611.6 shots/match
12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1616.1 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/164.25 shots/match
5.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/165.56 shots/match
50.7%Possessionseason · 16/1641.6%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.75 corners/match
4.06 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/166.63 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/166%
69%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1688%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fulham52.5
West Ham United22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fulham40
West Ham United41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fulham42.5
West Ham United20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fulham7.5
West Ham United62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fulham12.5
West Ham United40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fulham42.5
West Ham United37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fulham29.4
West Ham United36.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Fulham16 matchesWest Ham United16 matches
1.63 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.63 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.88 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals16/161.47 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots16/1611.6 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target16/164.25 shots/match
50.7%Possession16/1641.6%
5 corners/matchCorners16/164.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls16/1611 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Fulham8 matchesWest Ham United9 matches
2.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/91.56 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/92.22 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goals8/91.54 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots8/911.7 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target8/94 shots/match
60.1%Possession8/938.9%
6.5 corners/matchCorners8/94.78 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.5 fouls/matchFouls8/911.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.77 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.74 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Dec 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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