PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Aston Villa 0–4 Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League

0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tottenham Hotspur won 0–4.

Shots
109
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.831.55
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tottenham Hotspur beat Aston Villa 4–0. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – Tottenham Hotspur): shots 10–9, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.83–1.55, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

weak

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five shots average is below their season average.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match15.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.21 corners/match ●CornersAston Villa · Tottenham Hotspur6.07 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAston VillaTottenham HotspurBaseline
Corners6.21 corners/match6.07 corners/match5.23 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsAston Villa 10 shots, Tottenham Hotspur 9 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsAston Villa 1 shot, Tottenham Hotspur 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG1.55 xGAston Villa 0.83 xG, Tottenham Hotspur 1.55 xG
  • Possession31%69%Aston Villa 31%, Tottenham Hotspur 69%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersAston Villa 6 corners, Tottenham Hotspur 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsAston Villa 11 fouls, Tottenham Hotspur 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

James Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Digne · Aston Villa · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Diaby · Aston Villa · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 46′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 80′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Aston Villa · 84′ · 0.14 xG · on targetEzri Konsa · Aston Villa · 84′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.18 xG · goalMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 29′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.21 xG · goalBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 53′ · 0.23 xG · goalJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 50′ · 0.63 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Aston Villa: 10 shots, 1 on target, 0.83 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′James Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 50′Brennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 53′Timo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′Son Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Aston Villa 0.83 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 1.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Aston Villa
0Draws
2Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur — Aston Villa · Premier League1–2
Aston Villa — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–1
Tottenham Hotspur — Aston Villa · Premier League0–2
Aston Villa — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–4
Tottenham Hotspur — Aston Villa · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aston Villa favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aston Villa28 matchesTottenham Hotspur27 matches
2.11 goals/matchGoals scored28/272.19 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed28/271.44 goals/match
1.86 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/271.76 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots28/27▲ 15.5 shots/match
5.57 shots/matchShots on target28/27▲ 5.89 shots/match
54.9%Possession28/27● 61.2%
6.21 corners/match ●Corners28/276.07 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls28/2710.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Mar 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAston VillaTottenham Hotspur
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headAston Villa — Tottenham Hotspur
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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