Premier League · 2023

Fulham 3–0 Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League

Fulham

WLWWL
3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fulham won 3–0.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.762.41
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fulham beat Tottenham Hotspur 3–0. Recorded in this match (Fulham – Tottenham Hotspur): shots 16–14, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.76–2.41, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fulham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.8%PossessionFulham · Tottenham Hotspur● 61.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFulhamTottenham HotspurBaseline
Possession49.8%61.1%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsFulham 16 shots, Tottenham Hotspur 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsFulham 7 shots, Tottenham Hotspur 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.76 xG2.41 xGFulham 2.76 xG, Tottenham Hotspur 2.41 xG
  • Possession43%57%Fulham 43%, Tottenham Hotspur 57%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersFulham 4 corners, Tottenham Hotspur 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsFulham 9 fouls, Tottenham Hotspur 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

João Palhinha · Fulham · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiovani Lo Celso · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Palhinha · Fulham · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 69′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodrigo Bentancur · Tottenham Hotspur · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Palhinha · Fulham · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Wilson · Fulham · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTimothy Castagne · Fulham · 60′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 27′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 24′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Bassey · Fulham · 61′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 32′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSaša Lukić · Fulham · 11′ · 0.14 xG · on targetWillian · Fulham · 25′ · 0.14 xG · on targetRadu Drăguşin · Tottenham Hotspur · 29′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 11′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 87′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Fulham · 90′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 2′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSaša Lukić · Fulham · 49′ · 0.30 xG · goalRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 42′ · 0.38 xG · goalBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 68′ · 0.66 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 69′ · 0.79 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 61′ · 1.00 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fulham: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.89 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Rodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 42′Saša Lukić · Fulham · 49′Rodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fulham 2.89 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 2.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fulham
0Draws
3Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur — Fulham · Premier League2–0
Fulham — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–1
Tottenham Hotspur — Fulham · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fulham favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fulham29 matchesTottenham Hotspur28 matches
1.48 goals/matchGoals scored29/28▲ 2.11 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed29/281.5 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals29/28▲ 1.78 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots29/28▲ 15.4 shots/match
4.66 shots/matchShots on target29/28▲ 5.86 shots/match
49.8%Possession29/28● 61.1%
5.34 corners/matchCorners29/28● 6.04 corners/match
9.97 fouls/matchFouls29/2810.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Mar 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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