PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Liverpool 1–1 Manchester City · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool and Manchester City drew 1–1.

Shots
1910
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
2.71.56
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool and Manchester City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Liverpool – Manchester City): shots 19–10, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 2.7–1.56, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.25 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.04 corners/matchCornersLiverpool · Manchester City● 7.82 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolManchester CityBaseline
Corners7.04 corners/match7.82 corners/match5.23 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Liverpool have a visible home split

moderate

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

24.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season19.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots24.1 shots/match19.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots10 shotsLiverpool 19 shots, Manchester City 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsLiverpool 6 shots, Manchester City 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.7 xG1.56 xGLiverpool 2.7 xG, Manchester City 1.56 xG
  • Possession53%47%Liverpool 53%, Manchester City 47%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersLiverpool 7 corners, Manchester City 4 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls10 foulsLiverpool 6 fouls, Manchester City 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJarell Quansah · Liverpool · 80′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 3′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPhil Foden · Manchester City · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedConor Bradley · Liverpool · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 65′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gomez · Liverpool · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 8′ · 0.06 xG · on targetHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 39′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 39′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 42′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 31′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 89′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 84′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 58′ · 0.36 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 71′ · 0.36 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 63′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 50′ · 0.82 xG · goalJohn Stones · Manchester City · 23′ · 0.86 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 19 shots, 6 on target, 2.76 xG. Manchester City: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Alexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 50′John Stones · Manchester City · 23′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 2.76 xG · Manchester City 1.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Liverpool
3Draws
1Manchester City
Manchester City — Liverpool · Premier League1–1
Manchester City — Liverpool · Premier League4–1
Liverpool — Manchester City · Premier League1–0
Manchester City — Liverpool · Premier League2–2
Liverpool — Manchester City · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester City in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool28 matchesManchester City28 matches
2.32 goals/matchGoals scored28/282.25 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281 goal/match
2.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/282.06 xG/match
19.4 shots/match ▲Shots28/2818 shots/match
6.82 shots/matchShots on target28/277.11 shots/match
60.6%Possession28/28● 65.2%
7.04 corners/matchCorners28/28● 7.82 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls28/288.25 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Mar 2024, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLiverpoolManchester City
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headLiverpool — Manchester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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