PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Liverpool 0–1 Crystal Palace · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Crystal Palace won 0–1.

Shots
218
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.811.98
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Crystal Palace beat Liverpool 1–0. Recorded in this match (Liverpool – Crystal Palace): shots 21–8, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.81–1.98, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.25 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Crystal Palace show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Crystal Palace's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

20.3 shots/match ▲ShotsLiverpool · Crystal Palace11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolCrystal PalaceBaseline
Shots20.3 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Liverpool have a visible home split

moderate

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

24.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season20.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots24.5 shots/match20.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots8 shotsLiverpool 21 shots, Crystal Palace 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsLiverpool 6 shots, Crystal Palace 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.81 xG1.98 xGLiverpool 2.81 xG, Crystal Palace 1.98 xG
  • Possession70%30%Liverpool 70%, Crystal Palace 30%
  • Corners11 corners1 cornerLiverpool 11 corners, Crystal Palace 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsLiverpool 10 fouls, Crystal Palace 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 34′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 1′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 8′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIbrahima Konaté · Liverpool · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdam Wharton · Crystal Palace · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 86′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 33′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedWataru Endo · Liverpool · 27′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 55′ · 0.14 xG · on targetIbrahima Konaté · Liverpool · 30′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 55′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 29′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 72′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 18′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 75′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 14′ · 0.55 xG · goalJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 74′ · 0.55 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 21 shots, 5 on target, 2.83 xG. Crystal Palace: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Eberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 14′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 2.83 xG · Crystal Palace 1.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Liverpool
2Draws
0Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace — Liverpool · Premier League1–2
Crystal Palace — Liverpool · Premier League0–0
Liverpool — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1
Crystal Palace — Liverpool · Premier League1–3
Liverpool — Crystal Palace · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool32 matchesCrystal Palace32 matches
2.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.16 goals/match
0.97 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.69 goals/match
2.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.18 xG/match
20.3 shots/match ▲Shots32/3211.2 shots/match
6.91 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/324.03 shots/match
61.4% ●Possession32/3240.9%
7.5 corners/match ●Corners32/324.59 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls32/3212.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Apr 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLiverpoolCrystal Palace
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headLiverpool — Crystal Palace
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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