Premier League · 2023

Arsenal 0–2 Aston Villa · Premier League

Arsenal

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0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa won 0–2.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.640.94
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa beat Arsenal 2–0. Recorded in this match (Arsenal – Aston Villa): shots 18–11, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.64–0.94, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Arsenal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Arsenal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.34 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.34 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Aston Villa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Aston Villa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.7 shots/match ▲ShotsArsenal · Aston Villa14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricArsenalAston VillaBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match14 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against8.44 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.25 corners/match ●CornersArsenal · Aston Villa6.33 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricArsenalAston VillaBaseline
Corners7.25 corners/match6.33 corners/match5.4 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsArsenal 18 shots, Aston Villa 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsArsenal 4 shots, Aston Villa 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.64 xG0.94 xGArsenal 1.64 xG, Aston Villa 0.94 xG
  • Possession52%48%Arsenal 52%, Aston Villa 48%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersArsenal 4 corners, Aston Villa 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls7 foulsArsenal 12 fouls, Aston Villa 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ollie Watkins · Aston Villa · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohn McGinn · Aston Villa · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Diaby · Aston Villa · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Aston Villa · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zinchenko · Arsenal · 23′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 24′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 64′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKai Havertz · Arsenal · 11′ · 0.10 xG · on targetBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 38′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLucas Digne · Aston Villa · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 16′ · 0.13 xG · on targetOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 87′ · 0.19 xG · goalBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 40′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 84′ · 0.36 xG · goalLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 40′ · 0.49 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arsenal: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.79 xG. Aston Villa: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Leon Bailey · Aston Villa · 84′Ollie Watkins · Aston Villa · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arsenal 1.79 xG · Aston Villa 0.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Arsenal
0Draws
1Aston Villa
Aston Villa — Arsenal · Premier League1–0
Aston Villa — Arsenal · Premier League2–4
Arsenal — Aston Villa · Premier League2–1
Aston Villa — Arsenal · Premier League0–1
Arsenal — Aston Villa · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arsenal favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arsenal32 matchesAston Villa33 matches
2.34 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/332.06 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/331.48 goals/match
2 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/331.73 xG/match
16.7 shots/match ▲Shots32/3314 shots/match
5.84 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/335.27 shots/match
59.8% ●Possession32/3354.7%
7.25 corners/match ●Corners32/336.33 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls32/3311 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Apr 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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