PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Sheffield United 1–4 Burnley · Premier League

1–4Historical match

Burnley

WDDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Burnley won 1–4.

Shots
1816
Shots on target
119
Expected goals
2.432.18
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Burnley beat Sheffield United 4–1. Recorded in this match (Sheffield United – Burnley): shots 18–16, shots on target 11–9, expected goals 2.43–2.18, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield United have a visible home split

moderate

Sheffield United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.21 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match9.21 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Burnley have recorded the higher season possession share.

35.1%PossessionSheffield United · Burnley● 46.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedBurnleyBaseline
Possession35.1%46.9%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots16 shotsSheffield United 18 shots, Burnley 16 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots9 shotsSheffield United 11 shots, Burnley 9 shots
  • Expected goals2.43 xG2.18 xGSheffield United 2.43 xG, Burnley 2.18 xG
  • Possession49%51%Sheffield United 49%, Burnley 51%
  • Corners11 corners2 cornersSheffield United 11 corners, Burnley 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsSheffield United 10 fouls, Burnley 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ben Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 61′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJames McAtee · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWilson Odobert · Burnley · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames McAtee · Sheffield United · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 37′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJayden Bogle · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVitinho · Burnley · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitinho · Burnley · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 38′ · 0.04 xG · goalAuston Trusty · Sheffield United · 26′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLyle Foster · Burnley · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLorenz Assignon · Burnley · 51′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVinícius Souza · Sheffield United · 60′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVitinho · Burnley · 67′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJóhann Guðmundsson · Burnley · 71′ · 0.07 xG · goalVinícius Souza · Sheffield United · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLyle Foster · Burnley · 30′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJosh Brownhill · Burnley · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 33′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJames McAtee · Sheffield United · 49′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJóhann Guðmundsson · Burnley · 76′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLorenz Assignon · Burnley · 40′ · 0.13 xG · goalOli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 63′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJayden Bogle · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetBen Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 55′ · 0.15 xG · on targetGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 52′ · 0.16 xG · goalJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 24′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBen Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 16′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedBen Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 18′ · 0.26 xG · on targetLyle Foster · Burnley · 20′ · 0.27 xG · on targetLyle Foster · Burnley · 58′ · 0.27 xG · goalOli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 69′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 8′ · 0.55 xG · on targetJóhann Guðmundsson · Burnley · 90′ · 0.63 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield United: 18 shots, 11 on target, 2.39 xG. Burnley: 16 shots, 9 on target, 2.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 52′Jacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 38′Lorenz Assignon · Burnley · 40′Lyle Foster · Burnley · 58′Jóhann Guðmundsson · Burnley · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 2.39 xG · Burnley 2.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sheffield United
0Draws
2Burnley
Burnley — Sheffield United · Premier League5–0
Burnley — Sheffield United · Championship2–0
Sheffield United — Burnley · Championship5–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sheffield United favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Burnley in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sheffield United33 matchesBurnley34 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored33/34▲ 1.09 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed33/34▲ 2.03 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals33/34▲ 1.06 xG/match
9.21 shots/matchShots33/34▲ 11 shots/match
3.47 shots/matchShots on target32/343.65 shots/match
35.1%Possession33/34● 46.9%
3.61 corners/matchCorners33/34● 4.82 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls33/3411.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Apr 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSheffield UnitedBurnley
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headSheffield United — Burnley
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required