PitchMath
Premier League · 2023Sat, 20 Apr 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–4Full-time recap

Burnley

WDDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield UnitedBurnley
Shots18 shots/match▲16 shots/match
Shots on target11 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Expected goals2.43 xG/match▲2.18 xG/match
Possession49%51%●
Corners11 corners/match●2 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ben Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 61′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJames McAtee · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWilson Odobert · Burnley · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames McAtee · Sheffield United · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 37′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJayden Bogle · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVitinho · Burnley · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitinho · Burnley · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 38′ · 0.04 xG · goalAuston Trusty · Sheffield United · 26′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLyle Foster · Burnley · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLorenz Assignon · Burnley · 51′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVinícius Souza · Sheffield United · 60′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVitinho · Burnley · 67′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJóhann Guðmundsson · Burnley · 71′ · 0.07 xG · goalVinícius Souza · Sheffield United · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLyle Foster · Burnley · 30′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJosh Brownhill · Burnley · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 33′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJames McAtee · Sheffield United · 49′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJóhann Guðmundsson · Burnley · 76′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLorenz Assignon · Burnley · 40′ · 0.13 xG · goalOli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 63′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJayden Bogle · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetBen Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 55′ · 0.15 xG · on targetGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 52′ · 0.16 xG · goalJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 24′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBen Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 16′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedBen Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 18′ · 0.26 xG · on targetLyle Foster · Burnley · 20′ · 0.27 xG · on targetLyle Foster · Burnley · 58′ · 0.27 xG · goalOli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 69′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 8′ · 0.55 xG · on targetJóhann Guðmundsson · Burnley · 90′ · 0.63 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield United: 18 shots, 11 on target, 2.39 xG. Burnley: 16 shots, 9 on target, 2.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 52′Jacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 38′Lorenz Assignon · Burnley · 40′Lyle Foster · Burnley · 58′Jóhann Guðmundsson · Burnley · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 2.39 xG · Burnley 2.13 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sheffield United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield United have a visible home split

moderate

Sheffield United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.21 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match9.21 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Burnley have recorded the higher season possession share.

35.1%PossessionSheffield United · Burnley●46.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedBurnleyBaseline
Possession35.1%46.9%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Sheffield United
0Draws
2Burnley
Burnley — Sheffield United · Premier League5–0
Burnley — Sheffield United · Championship2–0
Sheffield United — Burnley · Championship5–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sheffield United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Burnley in 10 · 3 too close

0.94 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/34▲1.09 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/34▲2.03 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 33/34▲1.06 xG/match
1.95 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 33/34▲1.8 xG/match
9.21 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/34▲11 shots/match
17.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/34▲15.6 shots/match
3.47 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/343.65 shots/match
7.06 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/34▲6.21 shots/match
35.1%Possessionseason · 33/34●46.9%
3.61 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/34●4.82 corners/match
7.42 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/34▲6.26 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3411.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
3%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/34▲6%
61%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/34▲65%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield United2.5
Burnley42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield United2.5
Burnley10.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield United4.2
Burnley14.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield United32.5
Burnley2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United52.5
Burnley60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United2.5
Burnley37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield United15
Burnley29.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sheffield United33 matchesBurnley34 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored33/34▲1.09 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed33/34▲2.03 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals33/34▲1.06 xG/match
9.21 shots/matchShots33/34▲11 shots/match
3.47 shots/matchShots on target32/343.65 shots/match
35.1%Possession33/34●46.9%
3.61 corners/matchCorners33/34●4.82 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFouls33/3411.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sheffield United17 matchesBurnley17 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲1.18 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲1.88 goals/match
1.26 xG/match▲Expected goals17/170.9 xG/match
10.8 shots/match▲Shots17/179.18 shots/match
3.88 shots/match▲Shots on target17/173.47 shots/match
36.3%Possession17/17●43%
4.18 corners/match●Corners17/173.88 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.1 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples33 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Apr 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSheffield UnitedBurnley
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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