Premier League · 2023

Manchester United 1–1 Burnley · Premier League

1–1Historical match

Burnley

DDLDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester United and Burnley drew 1–1.

Shots
2716
Shots on target
107
Expected goals
2.712.06
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester United and Burnley drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Manchester United – Burnley): shots 27–16, shots on target 10–7, expected goals 2.71–2.06, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Manchester United.

2.79 days ▲Rest daysManchester United · Burnley7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricManchester UnitedBurnleyBaseline
Rest days2.79 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots16 shotsManchester United 27 shots, Burnley 16 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots7 shotsManchester United 10 shots, Burnley 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.71 xG2.06 xGManchester United 2.71 xG, Burnley 2.06 xG
  • Possession48%52%Manchester United 48%, Burnley 52%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersManchester United 6 corners, Burnley 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsManchester United 8 fouls, Burnley 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Casemiro · Manchester United · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCasemiro · Manchester United · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmad Diallo · Manchester United · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWilson Odobert · Burnley · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVitinho · Burnley · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Cullen · Burnley · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Dalot · Manchester United · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Manchester United · 16′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 69′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLorenz Assignon · Burnley · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKobbie Mainoo · Manchester United · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmad Diallo · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Manchester United · 8′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 24′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChristian Eriksen · Manchester United · 10′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCasemiro · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLyle Foster · Burnley · 34′ · 0.10 xG · on targetWilson Odobert · Burnley · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDara O'Shea · Burnley · 32′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 61′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 54′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDavid Datro Fofana · Burnley · 1′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 41′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAmad Diallo · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Manchester United · 8′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedLyle Foster · Burnley · 28′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 2′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Manchester United · 50′ · 0.24 xG · on targetLyle Foster · Burnley · 38′ · 0.29 xG · on targetAntony · Manchester United · 79′ · 0.31 xG · goalAntony · Manchester United · 51′ · 0.52 xG · on targetZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 88′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester United: 27 shots, 10 on target, 2.69 xG. Burnley: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Antony · Manchester United · 79′Zeki Amdouni · Burnley · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 2.69 xG · Burnley 2.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Manchester United
1Draws
0Burnley
Burnley — Manchester United · Premier League0–1
Burnley — Manchester United · Premier League1–1
Manchester United — Burnley · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester United favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Burnley in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester United34 matchesBurnley35 matches
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/351.09 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/352 goals/match
1.57 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/351.08 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots34/3511.1 shots/match
5.21 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/353.74 shots/match
50.6% ●Possession34/3547%
6 corners/match ●Corners34/354.83 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls34/3511.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Apr 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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