Premier League · 2023Sun, 5 May 2024, 15:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Liverpool

DLWLD

4–2Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

DWLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	25 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	13 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Expected goals	3.37 xG/match▲	1.24 xG/match
Possession	44%	56%●
Corners	8 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Liverpool: 25 shots, 12 on target, 3.59 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 3.59 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 1.24 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Liverpool, Tottenham Hotspur. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Liverpool, Tottenham Hotspur.

8.17 days▲Rest daysLiverpool · Tottenham Hotspur2.88 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Liverpool	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Rest days	8.17 days	2.88 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.97 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.97 goals/match	1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.6 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · Tottenham Hotspur15.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Shots	20.6 shots/match	15.3 shots/match	13.5 shots/match
Shots against	10.9 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Liverpool

2Draws

1Tottenham Hotspur

30 Sept 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Liverpool · Premier League2–1

30 Apr 2023Liverpool — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League4–3

6 Nov 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Liverpool · Premier League1–2

7 May 2022Liverpool — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–1

19 Dec 2021Tottenham Hotspur — Liverpool · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 0 · 3 too close

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 36/351.97 goals/match

1.06 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 36/351.66 goals/match

2.3 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 36/351.75 xG/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 36/351.73 xG/match

20.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 36/3515.3 shots/match

10.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 36/3513.3 shots/match

7.11 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 36/355.49 shots/match

3.92 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 36/354.66 shots/match

61.6%Possessionseason · 36/35●61.9%

7.58 corners/match●Cornersseason · 36/356.06 corners/match

3.97 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 36/356.49 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3511.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3517%

92%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/3591%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool87.5

Tottenham Hotspur92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool92.5

Tottenham Hotspur74.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool87.5

Tottenham Hotspur55.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool92.5

Tottenham Hotspur22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool77.5

Tottenham Hotspur52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool97.5

Tottenham Hotspur72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool91.2

Tottenham Hotspur70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool36 matchesTottenham Hotspur35 matches

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored36/351.97 goals/match

1.06 goals/match▲Goals allowed36/351.66 goals/match

2.3 xG/match▲Expected goals36/351.75 xG/match

20.6 shots/match▲Shots36/3515.3 shots/match

7.11 shots/match▲Shots on target36/355.49 shots/match

61.6%Possession36/35●61.9%

7.58 corners/match●Corners36/356.06 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls36/3511.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool18 matchesTottenham Hotspur18 matches

2.61 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181.83 goals/match

0.94 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.89 goals/match

2.83 xG/match▲Expected goals18/181.45 xG/match

24.6 shots/match▲Shots18/1813.4 shots/match

8.94 shots/match▲Shots on target18/184.72 shots/match

62.8%●Possession18/1861.6%

8.5 corners/match●Corners18/185.11 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.88 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples36 / 35home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 May 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4