Premier League · 2024Sun, 15 Sept 2024, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

DWL

0–1Full-time recap

Arsenal

WWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Arsenal
Shots	15 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.71 xG/match	0.74 xG/match▲
Possession	64%●	36%
Corners	7 corners/match●	6 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 15 shots, 5 on target, 0.73 xG. Arsenal: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 0.73 xG · Arsenal 0.75 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Arsenal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Arsenal show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Arsenal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match▲ShotsTottenham Hotspur · Arsenal11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Arsenal	Baseline
Shots	15.8 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	8.25 shots/match	14.3 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.8%●PossessionTottenham Hotspur · Arsenal46.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Arsenal	Baseline
Possession	67.8%	46.5%	48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Tottenham Hotspur

1Draws

3Arsenal

28 Apr 2024Tottenham Hotspur — Arsenal · Premier League2–3

24 Sept 2023Arsenal — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–2

15 Jan 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Arsenal · Premier League0–2

1 Oct 2022Arsenal — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League3–1

12 May 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Arsenal · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Arsenal in 0 · 13 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.25 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.25 xG/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.06 xG/match

15.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411.3 shots/match

8.25 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/414.3 shots/match

6.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.25 shots/match

2.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/43.75 shots/match

67.8%●Possessionseason · 4/446.5%

11 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/44.5 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/413.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/475%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur97.5

Arsenal47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur81.7

Arsenal55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur80.8

Arsenal65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur22.5

Arsenal37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur47.5

Arsenal82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur97.5

Arsenal42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur80.6

Arsenal55.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur4 matchesArsenal4 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.25 goals/match

1.4 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.25 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shots4/411.3 shots/match

6.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/45.25 shots/match

67.8%●Possession4/446.5%

11 corners/match●Corners4/44.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/413.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tottenham Hotspur2 matchesArsenal2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Sept 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4