PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Tottenham Hotspur 0–1 Arsenal · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal won 0–1.

Shots
157
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.710.74
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal beat Tottenham Hotspur 1–0. Recorded in this match (Tottenham Hotspur – Arsenal): shots 15–7, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.71–0.74, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Arsenal show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Arsenal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsTottenham Hotspur · Arsenal11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTottenham HotspurArsenalBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against8.25 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.8% ●PossessionTottenham Hotspur · Arsenal46.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTottenham HotspurArsenalBaseline
Possession67.8%46.5%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsTottenham Hotspur 15 shots, Arsenal 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsTottenham Hotspur 5 shots, Arsenal 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.71 xG0.74 xGTottenham Hotspur 0.71 xG, Arsenal 0.74 xG
  • Possession64%36%Tottenham Hotspur 64%, Arsenal 36%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersTottenham Hotspur 7 corners, Arsenal 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsTottenham Hotspur 13 fouls, Arsenal 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Micky van de Ven · Tottenham Hotspur · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 73′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWilson Odobert · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Tottenham Hotspur · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCristian Romero · Tottenham Hotspur · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJurriën Timber · Arsenal · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 5′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKai Havertz · Arsenal · 18′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 23′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 63′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Tottenham Hotspur · 28′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 19′ · 0.18 xG · on targetGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 64′ · 0.22 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 15 shots, 5 on target, 0.73 xG. Arsenal: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Gabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 0.73 xG · Arsenal 0.75 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Tottenham Hotspur
1Draws
3Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur — Arsenal · Premier League2–3
Arsenal — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–2
Tottenham Hotspur — Arsenal · Premier League0–2
Arsenal — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League3–1
Tottenham Hotspur — Arsenal · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tottenham Hotspur favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur4 matchesArsenal4 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.25 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.25 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/411.3 shots/match
6.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/45.25 shots/match
67.8% ●Possession4/446.5%
11 corners/match ●Corners4/44.5 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/413.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Sept 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTottenham HotspurArsenal
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headTottenham Hotspur — Arsenal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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