Premier League · 2024

Aston Villa 3–1 Wolverhampton · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa won 3–1.

Shots
910
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.730.51
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa beat Wolverhampton 3–1. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – Wolverhampton): shots 9–10, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.73–0.51, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAston Villa · Wolverhampton10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAston VillaWolverhamptonBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against9.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsAston Villa 9 shots, Wolverhampton 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsAston Villa 4 shots, Wolverhampton 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG0.51 xGAston Villa 1.73 xG, Wolverhampton 0.51 xG
  • Possession53%47%Aston Villa 53%, Wolverhampton 47%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersAston Villa 6 corners, Wolverhampton 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsAston Villa 11 fouls, Wolverhampton 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohn McGinn · Aston Villa · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 25′ · 0.03 xG · goalRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRoss Barkley · Aston Villa · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndré · Wolverhampton · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCraig Dawson · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 5′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 18′ · 0.11 xG · on targetOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 73′ · 0.13 xG · goalJhon Durán · Aston Villa · 70′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 68′ · 0.17 xG · on targetEzri Konsa · Aston Villa · 88′ · 0.22 xG · goalJhon Durán · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.90 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Aston Villa: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.77 xG. Wolverhampton: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ollie Watkins · Aston Villa · 73′Ezri Konsa · Aston Villa · 88′Jhon Durán · Aston Villa · 90′Matheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 25′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Aston Villa 1.77 xG · Wolverhampton 0.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Aston Villa
2Draws
2Wolverhampton
Aston Villa — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–0
Wolverhampton — Aston Villa · Premier League1–1
Wolverhampton — Aston Villa · Premier League1–0
Aston Villa — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–1
Wolverhampton — Aston Villa · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aston Villa favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aston Villa5 matchesWolverhampton5 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51 goal/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52.8 goals/match
1.74 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.98 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots5/510.8 shots/match
4.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
51% ●Possession5/546.2%
4.6 corners/match ●Corners5/53.8 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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