PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Leicester City 1–0 Bournemouth · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Leicester City won 1–0.

Shots
619
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.792.16
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Leicester City beat Bournemouth 1–0. Recorded in this match (Leicester City – Bournemouth): shots 6–19, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.79–2.16, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bournemouth show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.29 shots/match ▲ShotsLeicester City · Bournemouth16.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeicester CityBournemouthBaseline
Shots8.29 shots/match16.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against19.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots19 shotsLeicester City 6 shots, Bournemouth 19 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsLeicester City 2 shots, Bournemouth 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.79 xG2.16 xGLeicester City 0.79 xG, Bournemouth 2.16 xG
  • Possession44%56%Leicester City 44%, Bournemouth 56%
  • Corners0 corners9 cornersLeicester City 0 corners, Bournemouth 9 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsLeicester City 12 fouls, Bournemouth 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jamie Vardy · Leicester City · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Buonanotte · Leicester City · 8′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEvanilson · Bournemouth · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuis Sinisterra · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Buonanotte · Leicester City · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEvanilson · Bournemouth · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEvanilson · Bournemouth · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 52′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMarcos Senesi · Bournemouth · 6′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 27′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIlya Zabarnyi · Bournemouth · 49′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEnes Ünal · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 32′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Buonanotte · Leicester City · 16′ · 0.22 xG · goalDango Ouattara · Bournemouth · 53′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedEnes Ünal · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedJamie Vardy · Leicester City · 35′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedDango Ouattara · Bournemouth · 72′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leicester City: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.75 xG. Bournemouth: 19 shots, 2 on target, 2.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Facundo Buonanotte · Leicester City · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 0.75 xG · Bournemouth 2.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Leicester City
0Draws
2Bournemouth
Leicester City — Bournemouth · Premier League0–1
Bournemouth — Leicester City · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Leicester City favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Leicester City7 matchesBournemouth7 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.43 goals/match
0.73 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.75 xG/match
8.29 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 16.7 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.14 shots/match
42.1%Possession7/7● 44.1%
2.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6.86 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls7/714.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLeicester CityBournemouth
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headLeicester City — Bournemouth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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