Premier League · 2024Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

LLWWL

4–1Full-time recap

West Ham United

LDLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	West Ham United
Shots	22 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.92 xG/match▲	0.78 xG/match
Possession	57%●	43%
Corners	13 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.1 shots/match▲ShotsTottenham Hotspur · West Ham United15.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	West Ham United	Baseline
Shots	18.1 shots/match	15.1 shots/match	13.4 shots/match
Shots against	9 shots/match	15.5 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

62%●PossessionTottenham Hotspur · West Ham United45.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	West Ham United	Baseline
Possession	62%	45.4%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Tottenham Hotspur

2Draws

1West Ham United

2 Apr 2024West Ham United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–1

7 Dec 2023Tottenham Hotspur — West Ham United · Premier League1–2

19 Feb 2023Tottenham Hotspur — West Ham United · Premier League2–0

31 Aug 2022West Ham United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–1

20 Mar 2022Tottenham Hotspur — West Ham United · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 0 · 3 too close

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/81.38 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/81.88 goals/match

2.12 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/81.47 xG/match

1.12 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 8/81.63 xG/match

18.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/815.1 shots/match

9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 8/815.5 shots/match

6.88 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/84.75 shots/match

3.38 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 8/84.38 shots/match

62%●Possessionseason · 8/845.4%

9.5 corners/match●Cornersseason · 8/84.38 corners/match

4.75 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/86.25 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/814.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/813%

88%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/888%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur92.5

West Ham United27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur90.8

West Ham United57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur86.7

West Ham United32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur72.5

West Ham United92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur47.5

West Ham United92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur97.5

West Ham United17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur82.5

West Ham United58.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur8 matchesWest Ham United8 matches

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.38 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.88 goals/match

2.12 xG/match▲Expected goals8/81.47 xG/match

18.1 shots/match▲Shots8/815.1 shots/match

6.88 shots/match▲Shots on target8/84.75 shots/match

62%●Possession8/845.4%

9.5 corners/match●Corners8/84.38 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls8/814.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tottenham Hotspur4 matchesWest Ham United4 matches

2.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.25 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

2.15 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.98 xG/match

18.3 shots/match▲Shots4/414.8 shots/match

7.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.25 shots/match

60%●Possession4/443.3%

10.3 corners/match●Corners4/44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/415.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4