PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Arsenal 2–2 Liverpool · Premier League

Arsenal

WDWWL
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal and Liverpool drew 2–2.

Shots
99
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.920.81
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal and Liverpool drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Arsenal – Liverpool): shots 9–9, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.92–0.81, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Arsenal have a visible home split

moderate

Arsenal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20.4 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Arsenal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Arsenal's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Arsenal show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Arsenal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsArsenal · Liverpool13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricArsenalLiverpoolBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match9.44 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots9 shotsArsenal 9 shots, Liverpool 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsArsenal 3 shots, Liverpool 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG0.81 xGArsenal 0.92 xG, Liverpool 0.81 xG
  • Possession45%55%Arsenal 45%, Liverpool 55%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersArsenal 1 corner, Liverpool 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsArsenal 14 fouls, Liverpool 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mikel Merino · Arsenal · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyan Gravenberch · Liverpool · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 88′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKai Havertz · Arsenal · 31′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 9′ · 0.16 xG · goalVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 18′ · 0.26 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 81′ · 0.30 xG · goalMikel Merino · Arsenal · 43′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arsenal: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.95 xG. Liverpool: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Bukayo Saka · Arsenal · 9′Mikel Merino · Arsenal · 43′Virgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 18′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arsenal 0.95 xG · Liverpool 0.83 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Arsenal
2Draws
1Liverpool
Arsenal — Liverpool · Premier League3–1
Liverpool — Arsenal · Premier League1–1
Liverpool — Arsenal · Premier League2–2
Arsenal — Liverpool · Premier League3–2
Arsenal — Liverpool · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arsenal favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Liverpool in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arsenal9 matchesLiverpool9 matches
1.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.89 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.56 goals/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.86 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots9/913.9 shots/match
5.56 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 5.89 shots/match
48.8%Possession9/9● 57.8%
6.11 corners/match ●Corners9/95.89 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls9/912.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Oct 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsArsenalLiverpool
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headArsenal — Liverpool
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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