Premier League · 2024Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeHistorical match

Liverpool

WWWDW

2–0Historical match

Aston Villa

DDWDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Aston Villa
Shots	14 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.02 xG/match▲	1.38 xG/match
Possession	62%●	38%
Corners	2 corners/match	9 corners/match●
Fouls	11 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Liverpool: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.99 xG. Aston Villa: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 1.99 xG · Aston Villa 1.42 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Aston Villa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Aston Villa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Aston Villa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Aston Villa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.55 goals/match	1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Aston Villa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Aston Villa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · Aston Villa12.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Aston Villa	Baseline
Shots	14.1 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	10 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Liverpool

2Draws

0Aston Villa

13 May 2024Aston Villa — Liverpool · Premier League3–3

3 Sept 2023Liverpool — Aston Villa · Premier League3–0

20 May 2023Liverpool — Aston Villa · Premier League1–1

26 Dec 2022Aston Villa — Liverpool · Premier League1–3

10 May 2022Aston Villa — Liverpool · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 0 · 3 too close

1.91 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/111.55 goals/match

0.55 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.55 goals/match

1.86 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 11/111.52 xG/match

0.86 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 11/111.23 xG/match

14.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1112.4 shots/match

10 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1111.2 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.91 shots/match

3.27 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/113.91 shots/match

57.4%●Possessionseason · 11/1150.6%

5.82 corners/match●Cornersseason · 11/115.64 corners/match

4.45 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/114.36 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1112.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

55%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/119%

91%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1173%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool87.5

Aston Villa57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool74.2

Aston Villa40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool93.3

Aston Villa63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool32.5

Aston Villa27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool60

Aston Villa77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool62.5

Aston Villa52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool66.9

Aston Villa46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool11 matchesAston Villa11 matches

1.91 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.55 goals/match

0.55 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.55 goals/match

1.86 xG/match▲Expected goals11/111.52 xG/match

14.1 shots/match▲Shots11/1112.4 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.91 shots/match

57.4%●Possession11/1150.6%

5.82 corners/match●Corners11/115.64 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool6 matchesAston Villa6 matches

1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.67 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match

1.88 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.55 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots6/611.7 shots/match

7.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.17 shots/match

57.3%●Possession6/646.8%

5.17 corners/matchCorners6/65.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/614.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.25 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4