PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Liverpool 2–0 Aston Villa · Premier League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool won 2–0.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
2.021.38
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool beat Aston Villa 2–0. Recorded in this match (Liverpool – Aston Villa): shots 14–12, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 2.02–1.38, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Aston Villa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Aston Villa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.55 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Aston Villa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Aston Villa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsLiverpool · Aston Villa12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolAston VillaBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsLiverpool 14 shots, Aston Villa 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsLiverpool 5 shots, Aston Villa 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.02 xG1.38 xGLiverpool 2.02 xG, Aston Villa 1.38 xG
  • Possession62%38%Liverpool 62%, Aston Villa 38%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersLiverpool 2 corners, Aston Villa 9 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsLiverpool 11 fouls, Aston Villa 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ollie Watkins · Aston Villa · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 61′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 41′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRyan Gravenberch · Liverpool · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJacob Ramsey · Aston Villa · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJohn McGinn · Aston Villa · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDiego Carlos · Aston Villa · 38′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJacob Ramsey · Aston Villa · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Konaté · Liverpool · 71′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Onana · Aston Villa · 37′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJaden Philogene-Bidace · Aston Villa · 82′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 46′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedLucas Digne · Aston Villa · 38′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 20′ · 0.25 xG · goalDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 48′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 38′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 32′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 84′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.99 xG. Aston Villa: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Darwin Núñez · Liverpool · 20′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 1.99 xG · Aston Villa 1.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Liverpool
2Draws
0Aston Villa
Aston Villa — Liverpool · Premier League3–3
Liverpool — Aston Villa · Premier League3–0
Liverpool — Aston Villa · Premier League1–1
Aston Villa — Liverpool · Premier League1–3
Aston Villa — Liverpool · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool11 matchesAston Villa11 matches
1.91 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.55 goals/match
0.55 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.55 goals/match
1.86 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.52 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots11/1112.4 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.91 shots/match
57.4% ●Possession11/1150.6%
5.82 corners/match ●Corners11/115.64 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLiverpoolAston Villa
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headLiverpool — Aston Villa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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