PitchMath
Premier League · 2024Sun, 10 Nov 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTottenham HotspurIpswich Town
Shots17 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals1.55 xG/match1.62 xG/match▲
Possession66%●34%
Corners12 corners/match●2 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Son Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 11′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDominic Solanke · Tottenham Hotspur · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Bentancur · Tottenham Hotspur · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeif Davis · Ipswich Town · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 2′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Tottenham Hotspur · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOmari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCristian Romero · Tottenham Hotspur · 74′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Bentancur · Tottenham Hotspur · 69′ · 0.10 xG · goalCameron Burgess · Ipswich Town · 9′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Bentancur · Tottenham Hotspur · 49′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Tottenham Hotspur · 19′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDominic Solanke · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetTimo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 84′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSammie Szmodics · Ipswich Town · 2′ · 0.21 xG · on targetSammie Szmodics · Ipswich Town · 31′ · 0.21 xG · goalBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 3′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blockedLiam Delap · Ipswich Town · 43′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.55 xG. Ipswich Town: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Rodrigo Bentancur · Tottenham Hotspur · 69′Sammie Szmodics · Ipswich Town · 31′Liam Delap · Ipswich Town · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 1.55 xG · Ipswich Town 1.58 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Ipswich Town's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.2 shots/match▲ShotsTottenham Hotspur · Ipswich Town9.82 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTottenham HotspurIpswich TownBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match9.82 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against9.64 shots/match15.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Ipswich Town's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ipswich Town's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.7%●PossessionTottenham Hotspur · Ipswich Town40.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTottenham HotspurIpswich TownBaseline
Possession61.7%40.5%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 0 · 2 too close

2.09 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/111.09 goals/match
1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/112 goals/match
1.97 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 11/110.93 xG/match
1.2 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 11/112.24 xG/match
17.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/119.82 shots/match
9.64 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1115.5 shots/match
6.27 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113 shots/match
3.36 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/116.09 shots/match
61.7%●Possessionseason · 11/1140.5%
9.27 corners/match●Cornersseason · 11/114.91 corners/match
4.73 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/116.45 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1112.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
18%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/119%
82%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1173%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur92.5
Ipswich Town7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur94.2
Ipswich Town8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur81.7
Ipswich Town14.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur62.5
Ipswich Town22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur62.5
Ipswich Town75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur95
Ipswich Town27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur85.6
Ipswich Town26.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur11 matchesIpswich Town11 matches
2.09 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.09 goals/match
1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/112 goals/match
1.97 xG/match▲Expected goals11/110.93 xG/match
17.2 shots/match▲Shots11/119.82 shots/match
6.27 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113 shots/match
61.7%●Possession11/1140.5%
9.27 corners/match●Corners11/114.91 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.8 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tottenham Hotspur6 matchesIpswich Town6 matches
2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.33 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62.33 goals/match
2.1 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.98 xG/match
17.7 shots/match▲Shots6/68 shots/match
6.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63 shots/match
59.5%●Possession6/636.3%
9.83 corners/match●Corners6/64.17 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/613.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Nov 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTottenham HotspurIpswich Town
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match