Premier League · 2024Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 12:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Leicester City

WWLDL

1–2Full-time recap

Chelsea

DLWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Leicester City	Chelsea
Shots	4 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.11 xG/match	2.75 xG/match▲
Possession	37%	63%●
Corners	2 corners/match	9 corners/match●
Fouls	15 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Leicester City: 4 shots, 1 on target, 1.14 xG. Chelsea: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 1.14 xG · Chelsea 2.91 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Chelsea's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Chelsea's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.92 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.92 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chelsea show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Chelsea's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.75 shots/match▲ShotsLeicester City · Chelsea14.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Leicester City	Chelsea	Baseline
Shots	9.75 shots/match	14.2 shots/match	13.7 shots/match
Shots against	17.6 shots/match	12.1 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Leicester City have a visible home split

moderate

Leicester City's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.17 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.75 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.17 shots/match	9.75 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Leicester City

1Draws

3Chelsea

11 Mar 2023Leicester City — Chelsea · Premier League1–3

27 Aug 2022Chelsea — Leicester City · Premier League2–1

19 May 2022Chelsea — Leicester City · Premier League1–1

20 Nov 2021Leicester City — Chelsea · Premier League0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leicester City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Chelsea in 10 · 3 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲1.92 goals/match

1.92 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲1.17 goals/match

1.03 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/12▲1.89 xG/match

1.94 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/12▲1.36 xG/match

9.75 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲14.2 shots/match

17.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲12.1 shots/match

3.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲5.25 shots/match

5.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲4.67 shots/match

46.8%Possessionseason · 12/12●55.4%

3.42 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/12●6.08 corners/match

7.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲3.58 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1211.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/12▲17%

92%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1292%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leicester City42.5

Chelsea77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leicester City18.3

Chelsea78.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leicester City14.2

Chelsea63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leicester City7.5

Chelsea37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leicester City42.5

Chelsea50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leicester City7.5

Chelsea82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leicester City16.2

Chelsea70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leicester City12 matchesChelsea12 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.92 goals/match

1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲1.17 goals/match

1.03 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲1.89 xG/match

9.75 shots/matchShots12/12▲14.2 shots/match

3.17 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲5.25 shots/match

46.8%Possession12/12●55.4%

3.42 corners/matchCorners12/12●6.08 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leicester City6 matchesChelsea6 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2.33 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1 goals/match

0.8 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.58 xG/match

8.17 shots/matchShots6/6▲12.7 shots/match

2 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4.67 shots/match

48.7%Possession6/6●58%

2.83 corners/matchCorners6/6●5.83 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls6/611.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.8 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4