PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Leicester City 1–2 Chelsea · Premier League

1–2Historical match

Chelsea

DLWDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chelsea won 1–2.

Shots
416
Shots on target
17
Expected goals
1.112.75
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea beat Leicester City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Leicester City – Chelsea): shots 4–16, shots on target 1–7, expected goals 1.11–2.75, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chelsea's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.92 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chelsea show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Chelsea's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsLeicester City · Chelsea14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeicester CityChelseaBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against17.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Leicester City have a visible home split

moderate

Leicester City's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.17 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.17 shots/match9.75 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots16 shotsLeicester City 4 shots, Chelsea 16 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot7 shotsLeicester City 1 shot, Chelsea 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.11 xG2.75 xGLeicester City 1.11 xG, Chelsea 2.75 xG
  • Possession37%63%Leicester City 37%, Chelsea 63%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersLeicester City 2 corners, Chelsea 9 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls12 foulsLeicester City 15 fouls, Chelsea 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cole Palmer · Chelsea · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 29′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoão Félix · Chelsea · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Chelsea · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKasey McAteer · Leicester City · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Chelsea · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 54′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 80′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 13′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMoisés Caicedo · Chelsea · 24′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 75′ · 0.17 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 15′ · 0.22 xG · goalWilfred Ndidi · Leicester City · 42′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 44′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 75′ · 0.72 xG · goalJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goalCole Palmer · Chelsea · 54′ · 0.92 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leicester City: 4 shots, 1 on target, 1.14 xG. Chelsea: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Jordan Ayew · Leicester City · 90′Nicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 15′Enzo Fernández · Chelsea · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 1.14 xG · Chelsea 2.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Leicester City
1Draws
3Chelsea
Leicester City — Chelsea · Premier League1–3
Chelsea — Leicester City · Premier League2–1
Chelsea — Leicester City · Premier League1–1
Leicester City — Chelsea · Premier League0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Leicester City favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Chelsea in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Leicester City12 matchesChelsea12 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.92 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.89 xG/match
9.75 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.25 shots/match
46.8%Possession12/12● 55.4%
3.42 corners/matchCorners12/12● 6.08 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLeicester CityChelsea
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headLeicester City — Chelsea
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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