Premier League · 2024

Bournemouth 1–2 Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brighton & Hove Albion won 1–2.

Shots
196
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.630.94
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brighton & Hove Albion beat Bournemouth 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bournemouth – Brighton & Hove Albion): shots 19–6, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.63–0.94, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bournemouth's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

45%PossessionBournemouth · Brighton & Hove Albion● 53.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBournemouthBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Possession45%53.3%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots6 shotsBournemouth 19 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsBournemouth 5 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.63 xG0.94 xGBournemouth 1.63 xG, Brighton & Hove Albion 0.94 xG
  • Possession55%45%Bournemouth 55%, Brighton & Hove Albion 45%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersBournemouth 7 corners, Brighton & Hove Albion 0 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsBournemouth 13 fouls, Brighton & Hove Albion 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jan Paul van Hecke · Brighton & Hove Albion · 33′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Brooks · Bournemouth · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatt O'Riley · Brighton & Hove Albion · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDean Huijsen · Bournemouth · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 62′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEvanilson · Bournemouth · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEvanilson · Bournemouth · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDavid Brooks · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.08 xG · goalEvanilson · Bournemouth · 20′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 12′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEvanilson · Bournemouth · 78′ · 0.12 xG · on targetGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedEvanilson · Bournemouth · 51′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 29′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedDean Huijsen · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedEnes Ünal · Bournemouth · 81′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 4′ · 0.30 xG · goalKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 49′ · 0.43 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bournemouth: 19 shots, 5 on target, 1.67 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 6 shots, 4 on target, 0.96 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′David Brooks · Bournemouth · 90′João Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 4′Kaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bournemouth 1.67 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 0.96 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bournemouth
0Draws
3Brighton & Hove Albion
Bournemouth — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League3–0
Brighton & Hove Albion — Bournemouth · Premier League3–1
Bournemouth — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–2
Brighton & Hove Albion — Bournemouth · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bournemouth favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bournemouth12 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion12 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.46 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots12/1213.8 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target12/124.67 shots/match
45%Possession12/12● 53.3%
6.33 corners/match ●Corners12/125 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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