Premier League · 2024Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Everton

DWDLD

0–0Full-time recap

Brentford

WLWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Everton	Brentford
Shots	27 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.2 xG/match▲	1.1 xG/match
Possession	59%●	41%
Corners	10 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Everton: 27 shots, 5 on target, 1.18 xG. Brentford: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 1.18 xG · Brentford 1.11 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brentford's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Brentford have a visible away split

moderate

Brentford's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.33 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.33 shots/match	11 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.83 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Everton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match▲ShotsEverton · Brentford11 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Everton	Brentford	Baseline
Shots	13.2 shots/match	11 shots/match	13.7 shots/match
Shots against	13 shots/match	19.2 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Everton

1Draws

1Brentford

27 Apr 2024Everton — Brentford · Premier League1–0

23 Sept 2023Brentford — Everton · Premier League1–3

11 Mar 2023Everton — Brentford · Premier League1–0

27 Aug 2022Brentford — Everton · Premier League1–1

15 May 2022Everton — Brentford · Premier League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Brentford in 4 · 2 too close

0.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲1.83 goals/match

1.42 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/121.83 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/12▲1.62 xG/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/121.74 xG/match

13.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1211 shots/match

13 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1219.2 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲5.08 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/126.83 shots/match

40.3%Possessionseason · 12/12●46.7%

4.58 corners/match●Cornersseason · 12/124.42 corners/match

6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/127.75 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/127.17 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/128%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/12▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton2.5

Brentford37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton22.5

Brentford55.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton52.5

Brentford9.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton87.5

Brentford12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton15

Brentford2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton17.5

Brentford12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton22.5

Brentford25.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Everton12 matchesBrentford12 matches

0.83 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.83 goals/match

1.42 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.83 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲1.62 xG/match

13.2 shots/match▲Shots12/1211 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲5.08 shots/match

40.3%Possession12/12●46.7%

4.58 corners/match●Corners12/124.42 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls12/127.17 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Everton6 matchesBrentford6 matches

0.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.67 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match

1 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.81 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots6/67.33 shots/match

3.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.17 shots/match

42.7%Possession6/6●43.2%

4.67 corners/match●Corners6/63.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.17 fouls/matchFouls6/67.33 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4