PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Tottenham Hotspur 1–1 Fulham · Premier League

1–1Historical match

Fulham

LDWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tottenham Hotspur and Fulham drew 1–1.

Shots
814
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.781.58
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tottenham Hotspur and Fulham drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Tottenham Hotspur – Fulham): shots 8–14, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.78–1.58, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

8.62 corners/match ●CornersTottenham Hotspur · Fulham6.38 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricTottenham HotspurFulhamBaseline
Corners8.62 corners/match6.38 corners/match5.15 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

weak

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five shots average is below their season average.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match15.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fulham have a visible away split

moderate

Fulham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots14 shotsTottenham Hotspur 8 shots, Fulham 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsTottenham Hotspur 3 shots, Fulham 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG1.58 xGTottenham Hotspur 0.78 xG, Fulham 1.58 xG
  • Possession51%49%Tottenham Hotspur 51%, Fulham 49%
  • Corners7 corners11 cornersTottenham Hotspur 7 corners, Fulham 11 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls14 foulsTottenham Hotspur 4 fouls, Fulham 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Radu Drăguşin · Tottenham Hotspur · 38′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRadu Drăguşin · Tottenham Hotspur · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonee Robinson · Fulham · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTom Cairney · Fulham · 67′ · 0.03 xG · goalPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Bassey · Fulham · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKenny Tete · Fulham · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIssa Diop · Fulham · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSander Berge · Fulham · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 42′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 44′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 77′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 53′ · 0.14 xG · on targetSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 1′ · 0.18 xG · on targetReiss Nelson · Fulham · 44′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedIssa Diop · Fulham · 50′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 52′ · 0.22 xG · on targetBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 54′ · 0.28 xG · goalRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 36′ · 0.33 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.75 xG. Fulham: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Brennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 54′Tom Cairney · Fulham · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 0.75 xG · Fulham 1.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Tottenham Hotspur
0Draws
1Fulham
Fulham — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League3–0
Tottenham Hotspur — Fulham · Premier League2–0
Fulham — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–1
Tottenham Hotspur — Fulham · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tottenham Hotspur favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Fulham in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur13 matchesFulham13 matches
2.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.38 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.38 goals/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.52 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots13/1315.1 shots/match
6.08 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/135.31 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession13/1353.6%
8.62 corners/match ●Corners13/136.38 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Dec 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTottenham HotspurFulham
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headTottenham Hotspur — Fulham
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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