Premier League · 2024

Tottenham Hotspur 3–4 Chelsea · Premier League

3–4Historical match

Chelsea

DDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chelsea won 3–4.

Shots
1317
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
2.92.83
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea beat Tottenham Hotspur 4–3. Recorded in this match (Tottenham Hotspur – Chelsea): shots 13–17, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 2.9–2.83, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea.

2.84 days ▲Rest daysTottenham Hotspur · Chelsea3.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricTottenham HotspurChelseaBaseline
Rest days2.84 days3.88 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Chelsea's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match2.33 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

8.4 corners/match ●CornersTottenham Hotspur · Chelsea6.2 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricTottenham HotspurChelseaBaseline
Corners8.4 corners/match6.2 corners/match5.17 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots17 shotsTottenham Hotspur 13 shots, Chelsea 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsTottenham Hotspur 5 shots, Chelsea 8 shots
  • Expected goals2.9 xG2.83 xGTottenham Hotspur 2.9 xG, Chelsea 2.83 xG
  • Possession39%61%Tottenham Hotspur 39%, Chelsea 61%
  • Corners5 corners10 cornersTottenham Hotspur 5 corners, Chelsea 10 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls11 foulsTottenham Hotspur 17 fouls, Chelsea 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marc Cucurella · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMalo Gusto · Chelsea · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 73′ · 0.04 xG · goalSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 11′ · 0.06 xG · goalJadon Sancho · Chelsea · 18′ · 0.06 xG · goalNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 31′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPedro Neto · Chelsea · 32′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDominic Solanke · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Tottenham Hotspur · 5′ · 0.10 xG · goalJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 41′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 49′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMicky van de Ven · Tottenham Hotspur · 72′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJadon Sancho · Chelsea · 77′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJadon Sancho · Chelsea · 48′ · 0.19 xG · on targetLevi Colwill · Chelsea · 4′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.23 xG · on targetSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 68′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.48 xG · goalPape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 34′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Tottenham Hotspur · 35′ · 0.72 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 61′ · 0.82 xG · goalCole Palmer · Chelsea · 84′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 13 shots, 5 on target, 2.81 xG. Chelsea: 17 shots, 8 on target, 2.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Dominic Solanke · Tottenham Hotspur · 5′Dejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 11′Son Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′Jadon Sancho · Chelsea · 18′Cole Palmer · Chelsea · 61′Enzo Fernández · Chelsea · 73′Cole Palmer · Chelsea · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 2.81 xG · Chelsea 2.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Tottenham Hotspur
1Draws
3Chelsea
Chelsea — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–0
Tottenham Hotspur — Chelsea · Premier League1–4
Tottenham Hotspur — Chelsea · Premier League2–0
Chelsea — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–2
Chelsea — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tottenham Hotspur favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Chelsea in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur15 matchesChelsea15 matches
2.07 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 2.33 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.92 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 2.17 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShots15/1515.3 shots/match
5.87 shots/matchShots on target15/156.13 shots/match
58.4% ●Possession15/1556.3%
8.4 corners/match ●Corners15/156.2 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Dec 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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