PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Everton 0–0 Chelsea · Premier League

Everton

DDLWD
0–0Historical match

Chelsea

WWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Everton and Chelsea drew 0–0.

Shots
512
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.031.17
Possession
25%75%

Full time

What the match recorded

Everton and Chelsea drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Everton – Chelsea): shots 5–12, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.03–1.17, possession 25%–75%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chelsea's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match2.18 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.5%PossessionEverton · Chelsea● 57.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEvertonChelseaBaseline
Possession38.5%57.8%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Everton show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsEverton · Chelsea15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEvertonChelseaBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match15.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots12 shotsEverton 5 shots, Chelsea 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsEverton 4 shots, Chelsea 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.03 xG1.17 xGEverton 1.03 xG, Chelsea 1.17 xG
  • Possession25%75%Everton 25%, Chelsea 75%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersEverton 2 corners, Chelsea 5 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls12 foulsEverton 20 fouls, Chelsea 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Enzo Fernández · Chelsea · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOrel Mangala · Everton · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Neto · Chelsea · 10′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAshley Young · Everton · 18′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMalo Gusto · Chelsea · 31′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Neto · Chelsea · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJadon Sancho · Chelsea · 22′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOrel Mangala · Everton · 38′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 31′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 26′ · 0.29 xG · on targetMalo Gusto · Chelsea · 26′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedIliman Ndiaye · Everton · 76′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedJack Harrison · Everton · 50′ · 0.54 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Everton: 5 shots, 4 on target, 1.03 xG. Chelsea: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 1.03 xG · Chelsea 1.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Everton
1Draws
2Chelsea
Chelsea — Everton · Premier League6–0
Everton — Chelsea · Premier League2–0
Chelsea — Everton · Premier League2–2
Everton — Chelsea · Premier League0–1
Everton — Chelsea · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Everton favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Chelsea in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Everton16 matchesChelsea17 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored16/17▲ 2.18 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed16/17▲ 1.12 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals16/17▲ 2.12 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots16/17▲ 15.8 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target16/17▲ 6.18 shots/match
38.5%Possession16/17● 57.8%
4 corners/matchCorners16/17● 6.24 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1712.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Dec 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEvertonChelsea
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headEverton — Chelsea
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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