Premier League · 2024Sun, 22 Dec 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

WDLLW

3–6Full-time recap

Liverpool

WWWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Liverpool
Shots	9 shots/match	24 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.27 xG/match	5.63 xG/match▲
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	7 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.27 xG. Liverpool: 24 shots, 12 on target, 6.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 1.27 xG · Liverpool 6.32 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.31 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3.2 goals/match	2.31 goals/match	1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

8.12 corners/match●CornersTottenham Hotspur · Liverpool6.06 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Liverpool	Baseline
Corners	8.12 corners/match	6.06 corners/match	5.38 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Tottenham Hotspur

1Draws

3Liverpool

5 May 2024Liverpool — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League4–2

30 Sept 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Liverpool · Premier League2–1

30 Apr 2023Liverpool — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League4–3

6 Nov 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Liverpool · Premier League1–2

7 May 2022Liverpool — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Liverpool in 10 · 3 too close

2.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/162.31 goals/match

1.47 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/16▲1 goals/match

1.91 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 17/16▲2.31 xG/match

1.76 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 17/16▲1.01 xG/match

15.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/16▲16 shots/match

12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/16▲10.2 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/16▲6.56 shots/match

4.65 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/16▲3.56 shots/match

58%●Possessionseason · 17/1656.6%

8.12 corners/match●Cornersseason · 17/166.06 corners/match

5.53 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/16▲4.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1611.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

24%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/16▲44%

82%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/16▲94%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur92.5

Liverpool82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur85.8

Liverpool94.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur48.3

Liverpool94.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur42.5

Liverpool72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur32.5

Liverpool47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur92.5

Liverpool67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur72.5

Liverpool75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur17 matchesLiverpool16 matches

2.29 goals/matchGoals scored17/162.31 goals/match

1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed17/16▲1 goals/match

1.91 xG/matchExpected goals17/16▲2.31 xG/match

15.2 shots/matchShots17/16▲16 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target17/16▲6.56 shots/match

58%●Possession17/1656.6%

8.12 corners/match●Corners17/166.06 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1611.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tottenham Hotspur9 matchesLiverpool8 matches

2.56 goals/matchGoals scored9/8▲2.75 goals/match

1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/8▲1.38 goals/match

1.95 xG/matchExpected goals9/8▲2.5 xG/match

15.1 shots/matchShots9/8▲16.4 shots/match

5.89 shots/matchShots on target9/8▲6.25 shots/match

55.4%Possession9/8●57%

8.67 corners/match●Corners9/86.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls9/812.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.06 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples17 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Dec 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4