Premier League · 2024Tue, 14 Jan 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

West Ham United

DDWLL

3–2Full-time recap

Fulham

DDWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham United	Fulham
Shots	4 shots/match	21 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.95 xG/match	1.9 xG/match▲
Possession	44%	56%●
Corners	0 corners/match	3 corners/match●
Fouls	9 fouls/match	18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

West Ham United: 4 shots, 3 on target, 0.94 xG. Fulham: 21 shots, 5 on target, 1.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 0.94 xG · Fulham 1.93 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham United's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Ham United's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	11 shots/match	14.1 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fulham show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match▲ShotsWest Ham United · Fulham13.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	West Ham United	Fulham	Baseline
Shots	14.1 shots/match	13.9 shots/match	13.9 shots/match
Shots against	16.8 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2West Ham United

1Draws

2Fulham

14 Sept 2024Fulham — West Ham United · Premier League1–1

14 Apr 2024West Ham United — Fulham · Premier League0–2

10 Dec 2023Fulham — West Ham United · Premier League5–0

8 Apr 2023Fulham — West Ham United · Premier League0–1

9 Oct 2022West Ham United — Fulham · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Fulham in 8 · 4 too close

1.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/21▲1.52 goals/match

1.95 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 21/21▲1.43 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 21/211.41 xG/match

1.83 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 21/21▲1.26 xG/match

14.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/2113.9 shots/match

16.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/21▲11.3 shots/match

4.29 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/21▲4.9 shots/match

5.48 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/21▲4.24 shots/match

46.6%Possessionseason · 21/21●52.6%

4.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/21●5.33 corners/match

6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/21▲4.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2111.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/2114%

81%Scoring frequencyseason · 21/21▲90%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United32.5

Fulham57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United42.5

Fulham55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United19.2

Fulham60.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United82.5

Fulham47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United52.5

Fulham22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United37.5

Fulham57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United46.2

Fulham47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United21 matchesFulham21 matches

1.29 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲1.52 goals/match

1.95 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲1.43 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goals21/211.41 xG/match

14.1 shots/matchShots21/2113.9 shots/match

4.29 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲4.9 shots/match

46.6%Possession21/21●52.6%

4.67 corners/matchCorners21/21●5.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United11 matchesFulham10 matches

1.45 goals/matchGoals scored11/101.4 goals/match

2.18 goals/matchGoals allowed11/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.53 xG/matchExpected goals11/101.49 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShots11/10▲13.6 shots/match

4.55 shots/match▲Shots on target11/104.3 shots/match

46.5%Possession11/10●51.8%

5 corners/matchCorners11/10●5.1 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1012.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.23 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples21 / 21home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 14 Jan 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4