Premier League · 2024

Newcastle United 1–4 Bournemouth · Premier League

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bournemouth won 1–4.

Shots
814
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.472.08
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bournemouth beat Newcastle United 4–1. Recorded in this match (Newcastle United – Bournemouth): shots 8–14, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.47–2.08, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Newcastle United, Bournemouth.

2.71 days ▲Rest daysNewcastle United · Bournemouth3.71 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNewcastle UnitedBournemouthBaseline
Rest days2.71 days3.71 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Newcastle United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Newcastle United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.82 corners/matchCornersNewcastle United · Bournemouth● 6.36 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNewcastle UnitedBournemouthBaseline
Corners5.82 corners/match6.36 corners/match5.09 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots14 shotsNewcastle United 8 shots, Bournemouth 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsNewcastle United 3 shots, Bournemouth 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.47 xG2.08 xGNewcastle United 0.47 xG, Bournemouth 2.08 xG
  • Possession56%44%Newcastle United 56%, Bournemouth 44%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersNewcastle United 7 corners, Bournemouth 5 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls16 foulsNewcastle United 5 fouls, Bournemouth 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDango Ouattara · Bournemouth · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSandro Tonali · Newcastle United · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 72′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 25′ · 0.05 xG · goalSandro Tonali · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMiloš Kerkez · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalJoelinton · Newcastle United · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDavid Brooks · Bournemouth · 60′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoelinton · Newcastle United · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Jebbison · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 33′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 44′ · 0.09 xG · goalDavid Brooks · Bournemouth · 48′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 4′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDean Huijsen · Bournemouth · 47′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 50′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIlya Zabarnyi · Bournemouth · 56′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 6′ · 0.14 xG · goalDango Ouattara · Bournemouth · 39′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Jebbison · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJoe Willock · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 45′ · 0.18 xG · on targetDango Ouattara · Bournemouth · 4′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.24 xG · on targetDavid Brooks · Bournemouth · 70′ · 0.27 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Newcastle United: 13 shots, 5 on target, 0.84 xG. Bournemouth: 19 shots, 10 on target, 2.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Bruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 25′Justin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 6′Justin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 44′Miloš Kerkez · Bournemouth · 90′Justin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 0.84 xG · Bournemouth 2.04 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Newcastle United
4Draws
1Bournemouth
Bournemouth — Newcastle United · Premier League1–1
Newcastle United — Bournemouth · Premier League2–2
Bournemouth — Newcastle United · Premier League2–0
Bournemouth — Newcastle United · Premier League1–1
Newcastle United — Bournemouth · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Newcastle United favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Newcastle United22 matchesBournemouth22 matches
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.64 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.18 goals/match
1.71 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.96 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 16.1 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 5.64 shots/match
51.1% ●Possession22/2245.8%
5.82 corners/matchCorners22/22● 6.36 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls22/2213.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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