Premier League · 2024Fri, 16 May 2025, 18:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Aston Villa

WWLWW

2–0Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

LLLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Aston Villa	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	18 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.39 xG/match▲	0.51 xG/match
Possession	68%●	32%
Corners	9 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	5 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Aston Villa: 18 shots, 7 on target, 1.38 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Aston Villa 1.38 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 0.52 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.7 goals/match	1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.14 corners/matchCornersAston Villa · Tottenham Hotspur●6.51 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Aston Villa	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Corners	6.14 corners/match	6.51 corners/match	5.02 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Aston Villa have a visible home split

moderate

Aston Villa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.4 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Aston Villa

0Draws

2Tottenham Hotspur

3 Nov 2024Tottenham Hotspur — Aston Villa · Premier League4–1

10 Mar 2024Aston Villa — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–4

26 Nov 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Aston Villa · Premier League1–2

13 May 2023Aston Villa — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–1

1 Jan 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Aston Villa · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Aston Villa favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 2 · 4 too close

1.57 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 37/37▲1.7 goals/match

1.32 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 37/371.65 goals/match

1.54 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 37/371.55 xG/match

1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 37/371.69 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/3713.3 shots/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 37/3713.5 shots/match

4.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 37/37▲4.95 shots/match

4.05 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 37/374.81 shots/match

51.1%Possessionseason · 37/37●55.4%

6.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 37/37●6.51 corners/match

4.54 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 37/375.27 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3711.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

24%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/3716%

84%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 37/3776%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Aston Villa57.5

Tottenham Hotspur77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Aston Villa50.8

Tottenham Hotspur65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Aston Villa65.8

Tottenham Hotspur27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Aston Villa37.5

Tottenham Hotspur22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Aston Villa32.5

Tottenham Hotspur82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Aston Villa72.5

Tottenham Hotspur87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Aston Villa50

Tottenham Hotspur73.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Aston Villa37 matchesTottenham Hotspur37 matches

1.57 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲1.7 goals/match

1.32 goals/match▲Goals allowed37/371.65 goals/match

1.54 xG/matchExpected goals37/371.55 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShots37/3713.3 shots/match

4.57 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲4.95 shots/match

51.1%Possession37/37●55.4%

6.14 corners/matchCorners37/37●6.51 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls37/3711.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Aston Villa19 matchesTottenham Hotspur19 matches

1.79 goals/match▲Goals scored19/191.53 goals/match

1.05 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.58 goals/match

1.81 xG/match▲Expected goals19/191.35 xG/match

15.4 shots/match▲Shots19/1912 shots/match

5.58 shots/match▲Shots on target19/194.47 shots/match

55.4%●Possession19/1954.9%

7.42 corners/match●Corners19/195.63 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.22 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples37 / 37home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 16 May 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4