Premier League · 2024Sun, 25 May 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Ipswich Town

LLDLL

1–3Full-time recap

West Ham United

DLDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Ipswich Town	West Ham United
Shots	14 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.74 xG/match	1.08 xG/match▲
Possession	41%	59%●
Corners	4 corners/match●	0 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Ipswich Town: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.73 xG. West Ham United: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 0.73 xG · West Ham United 1.11 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: West Ham United have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.21 goals/match	1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

West Ham United have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.3%PossessionIpswich Town · West Ham United●48.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Ipswich Town	West Ham United	Baseline
Possession	40.3%	48.6%	49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Ipswich Town

0Draws

1West Ham United

5 Oct 2024West Ham United — Ipswich Town · Premier League4–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Ipswich Town favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 10 · 3 too close

0.95 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 38/38▲1.21 goals/match

2.16 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 38/38▲1.63 goals/match

0.91 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 38/38▲1.27 xG/match

1.96 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 38/38▲1.57 xG/match

9.89 shots/matchShotsseason · 38/38▲12.5 shots/match

16 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 38/3815.3 shots/match

3.34 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 38/38▲3.84 shots/match

5.68 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 38/38▲4.89 shots/match

40.3%Possessionseason · 38/38●48.6%

3.82 corners/matchCornersseason · 38/38●4 corners/match

6.55 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 38/38▲5.47 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3811.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

5%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/38▲18%

63%Scoring frequencyseason · 38/38▲79%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Ipswich Town2.5

West Ham United42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Ipswich Town12.5

West Ham United29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Ipswich Town11.7

West Ham United25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Ipswich Town27.5

West Ham United42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town57.5

West Ham United77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town7.5

West Ham United20

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Ipswich Town22.5

West Ham United39.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Ipswich Town38 matchesWest Ham United38 matches

0.95 goals/matchGoals scored38/38▲1.21 goals/match

2.16 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲1.63 goals/match

0.91 xG/matchExpected goals38/38▲1.27 xG/match

9.89 shots/matchShots38/38▲12.5 shots/match

3.34 shots/matchShots on target38/38▲3.84 shots/match

40.3%Possession38/38●48.6%

3.82 corners/matchCorners38/38●4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls38/3811.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Ipswich Town19 matchesWest Ham United19 matches

0.74 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.21 goals/match

2.32 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.47 goals/match

0.88 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲1.3 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShots19/19▲13.3 shots/match

3.58 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲3.95 shots/match

43.4%Possession19/19●46.8%

4.11 corners/match●Corners19/193.42 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.07 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples38 / 38home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 May 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4