PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Ahli 3–1 Al-Hazem · Saudi Pro League

Al-Ahli

WLLWL
3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Ahli won 3–1.

Shots
2318
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
5.151.25
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Ahli beat Al-Hazem 3–1. Recorded in this match (Al-Ahli – Al-Hazem): shots 23–18, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 5.15–1.25, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Ahli, Al-Hazem.

3 days ▲Rest daysAl-Ahli · Al-Hazem3.09 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl-AhliAl-HazemBaseline
Rest days3 days3.09 days—
Matches last 14 days4 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.1 fouls/matchFoulsAl-Ahli · Al-Hazem14.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAl-AhliAl-HazemBaseline
Fouls14.1 fouls/match14.3 fouls/match11.2 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Al-Ahli have a visible home split

weak

Al-Ahli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots18 shotsAl-Ahli 23 shots, Al-Hazem 18 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsAl-Ahli 7 shots, Al-Hazem 3 shots
  • Expected goals5.15 xG1.25 xGAl-Ahli 5.15 xG, Al-Hazem 1.25 xG
  • Possession51%49%Al-Ahli 51%, Al-Hazem 49%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersAl-Ahli 5 corners, Al-Hazem 4 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls14 foulsAl-Ahli 19 fouls, Al-Hazem 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardAl-Ahli 0 cards, Al-Hazem 1 card
  • Passes400 passes392 passesAl-Ahli 400 passes, Al-Hazem 392 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.8%83.4%Al-Ahli 85.8%, Al-Hazem 83.4%
  • Shots inside box20 shots14 shotsAl-Ahli 20 shots, Al-Hazem 14 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks4 blocksAl-Ahli 7 blocks, Al-Hazem 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesAl-Ahli 2 saves, Al-Hazem 3 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideAl-Ahli 4 offsides, Al-Hazem 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 2′Ahmed Al-NakhliGoal · Al-Hazem
  2. 21′Francisco TrincãoGoal · Al-Ahli
  3. 32′Ivan ToneyPenalty goal · Al-Ahli
  4. 45′Ivan ToneyGoal · Al-Ahli
  5. Half-time
  6. 46′Sultan TankerYellow card · Al-Hazem
  7. 49′Ivan ToneyPenalty missed · Al-Ahli
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Al-Hazem · 2 player changesMory Konate · Amir Saâyoud
  • 63′Al-Hazem · 1 player changeMohammed Al-Yami
  • 69′Al-Ahli · 1 player changeFiras Al-Buraikan
  • 70′Al-Ahli · 1 player changeMeshal Al Mutairi
  • 75′Al-Ahli · 1 player changeMohammed Abdulrahman
  • 83′Al-Hazem · 2 player changesMohammed Al Hamdani · Walead Alshangeati
  • 90′Al-Ahli · 2 player changesSaad Yaslam Balobaid · Rayan Hamed

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Al-Ahli
  1. Edouard MendyG
  2. Zakaria HawsawiD
  3. Roger IbañezD
  4. Saeed BaattiaD
  5. Merih DemiralD
  6. Valentin Atangana EdoaM
  7. Eduard SpertsyanM
  8. Saleh Abu Al-ShamatM
  9. Francisco TrincãoF
  10. Wenderson GalenoF
  11. Ivan ToneyF
Al-Hazem
  1. Ibrahim ZaiedG
  2. Saud Al RashedD
  3. Sultan TankerD
  4. Abdullah Al-ShanqitiD
  5. Bonheur MugishaD
  6. Ahmed Al-NakhliD
  7. Aboubacar BahM
  8. Sofiane BendebkaM
  9. Elton AcolatseF
  10. Aboubacar DiakiteF
  11. Ahmed Al-ShamraniF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Al-Ahli
0Draws
0Al-Hazem
Al-Ahli — Al-Hazem · Saudi Pro League2–0
Al-Hazem — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League0–2
Al-Hazem — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League0–4
Al-Ahli — Al-Hazem · Saudi Pro League3–1
Al-Ahli — Al-Hazem · Saudi Pro League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Ahli favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Hazem in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Ahli7 matchesAl-Hazem7 matches
2.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
2.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.93 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots7/79.71 shots/match
5.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73 shots/match
50.9% ●Possession7/744.6%
4 corners/match ●Corners7/73.71 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls7/714.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-AhliAl-Hazem
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headAl-Ahli — Al-Hazem
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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