Al-Qadsiah 3–3 Al-Ettifaq · Saudi Pro League
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Al-Qadsiah and Al-Ettifaq drew 3–3.
- Shots
- 13–12
- Shots on target
- 3–4
- Expected goals
- 2.39–0.88
- Possession
- 55%–45%
Full time
What the match recorded
Al-Qadsiah and Al-Ettifaq drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Al-Qadsiah – Al-Ettifaq): shots 13–12, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 2.39–0.88, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Both teams have elevated corners records
moderateEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Al-Qadsiah | Al-Ettifaq | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 6.29 corners/match | 5.57 corners/match | 4.06 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
moderateA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Qadsiah, Al-Ettifaq.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Al-Qadsiah | Al-Ettifaq | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 2.89 days | 3 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 3 matches | 3 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Al-Ettifaq's recent record differs from the season
weakAl-Ettifaq's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 goals/match | 1.57 goals/match | 1.17 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 6′Meshal AlaeliYellow card · Al-Ettifaq
- 12′Julián QuiñonesGoal · Al-Qadsiah
- 15′Mateo ReteguiGoal · Al-Qadsiah
- 22′Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatYellow card · Al-Qadsiah
- 26′Bersant CelinaGoal · Al-Ettifaq
- 33′Yasir ShammariYellow card · Al-Ettifaq
- Half-time
- 62′Musab Al JuwayrYellow card · Al-Qadsiah
- 64′Álvaro MedránGoal · Al-Ettifaq
- 81′Mohammed Hamad Al-QahtaniGoal · Al-Qadsiah
- 84′Radhi Al-OteibiYellow card · Al-Ettifaq
- 85′Jordan LarssonGoal · Al-Ettifaq
- 90′Moussa DembéléYellow card · Al-Ettifaq
- 90′Jack HendryYellow card · Al-Ettifaq
- Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
- 46′Al-Qadsiah · 1 player changeYasser Al-Shahrani
- 46′Al-Ettifaq · 2 player changesMadallah Al-Olayan · Álvaro Medrán
- 58′Al-Ettifaq · 1 player changeJordan Larsson
- 63′Al-Ettifaq · 1 player changeMoussa Dembélé
- 64′Al-Qadsiah · 1 player changeTurki Alammar
- 67′Al-Qadsiah · 1 player changeMohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani
- 78′Al-Qadsiah · 1 player changeEyad Houssa
- 82′Al-Ettifaq · 1 player changeAbduleallah Hawsawi
- 90′Al-Qadsiah · 1 player changeAbdulmalik Al-Jaber
Who started
Lineups
Show both lineups
Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.
- Koen CasteelsG
- Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatD
- Jehad ThakriD
- Nacho FernándezD
- Gastón ÁlvarezD
- Christopher BaahD
- Nahitan NándezM
- Tijjani ReijndersM
- Musab Al JuwayrF
- Mateo ReteguiF
- Julián QuiñonesF
- Turki Ba Al-JawshG
- Jack HendryD
- Meshal AlaeliD
- Radhi Al-OteibiD
- Abdullah KhateebD
- Ondrej DudaM
- Abdoulaye KantéM
- Bersant CelinaM
- Khalid Al-GhannamF
- Yasir ShammariF
- Rayane MessiF
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Al-Qadsiah favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Ettifaq in 1 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 3 matches
Al-Qadsiah / Al-Ettifaq
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Team rankings in Saudi Pro League
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