PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Qadsiah 3–2 Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League

3–2Full-time analysis

Al-Ahli

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Qadsiah won 3–2.

Shots
118
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.71.19
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Qadsiah beat Al-Ahli 3–2. Recorded in this match (Al-Qadsiah – Al-Ahli): shots 11–8, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.7–1.19, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al-Qadsiah have a visible home split

weak

Al-Qadsiah's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Ahli.

5 days ▲Rest daysAl-Qadsiah · Al-Ahli4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl-QadsiahAl-AhliBaseline
Rest days5 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsAl-Qadsiah · Al-Ahli13.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAl-QadsiahAl-AhliBaseline
Fouls13.3 fouls/match13.3 fouls/match11.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots8 shotsAl-Qadsiah 11 shots, Al-Ahli 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsAl-Qadsiah 7 shots, Al-Ahli 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.7 xG1.19 xGAl-Qadsiah 2.7 xG, Al-Ahli 1.19 xG
  • Possession56%44%Al-Qadsiah 56%, Al-Ahli 44%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersAl-Qadsiah 6 corners, Al-Ahli 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls21 foulsAl-Qadsiah 16 fouls, Al-Ahli 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards1 cardAl-Qadsiah 4 cards, Al-Ahli 1 card
  • Passes506 passes392 passesAl-Qadsiah 506 passes, Al-Ahli 392 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.4%82.1%Al-Qadsiah 86.4%, Al-Ahli 82.1%
  • Shots inside box9 shots7 shotsAl-Qadsiah 9 shots, Al-Ahli 7 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block2 blocksAl-Qadsiah 1 block, Al-Ahli 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves4 savesAl-Qadsiah 3 saves, Al-Ahli 4 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideAl-Qadsiah 0 offsides, Al-Ahli 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 14′Tijjani ReijndersGoal · Al-Qadsiah
  2. 23′Valentin Atangana EdoaYellow card · Al-Ahli
  3. 29′Gastón ÁlvarezYellow card · Al-Qadsiah
  4. 45′Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatGoal · Al-Qadsiah
  5. 45′Tijjani ReijndersGoal · Al-Qadsiah
  6. Half-time
  7. 54′Nacho FernándezYellow card · Al-Qadsiah
  8. 62′Musab Al JuwayrYellow card · Al-Qadsiah
  9. 63′Ivan ToneyGoal · Al-Ahli
  10. 82′Ivan ToneyGoal · Al-Ahli
  11. 86′Mohammed Hamad Al-QahtaniYellow card · Al-Qadsiah
  12. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Al-Ahli · 1 player changeMohammed Abdulrahman
  • 60′Al-Ahli · 1 player changeSaleh Abu Al-Shamat
  • 61′Al-Ahli · 1 player changeNaif Masoud
  • 64′Al-Ahli · 1 player changeMohammed Sulaiman Bakor
  • 69′Al-Qadsiah · 1 player changeMohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani
  • 87′Al-Qadsiah · 2 player changesAbdulaziz Al-Aliwa · Turki Alammar
  • 88′Al-Qadsiah · 1 player changeYasser Al-Shahrani
  • 90′Al-Ahli · 1 player changeAbdullah Radif

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Al-Qadsiah
  1. Koen CasteelsG
  2. Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatD
  3. Jehad ThakriD
  4. Nacho FernándezD
  5. Gastón ÁlvarezD
  6. Christopher BaahD
  7. Julian WeiglM
  8. Tijjani ReijndersM
  9. Musab Al JuwayrF
  10. Mateo ReteguiF
  11. Julián QuiñonesF
Al-Ahli
  1. Edouard MendyG
  2. Roger IbañezD
  3. Merih DemiralD
  4. Saad Yaslam BalobaidD
  5. Rayan HamedD
  6. Valentin Atangana EdoaM
  7. Francisco TrincãoM
  8. Eduard SpertsyanM
  9. Firas Al-BuraikanF
  10. Wenderson GalenoF
  11. Ivan ToneyF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Al-Qadsiah
1Draws
2Al-Ahli
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League3–2
Al-Ahli — Al-Qadsiah · King's Cup3–3
Al-Ahli — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League2–1
Al-Ahli — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League4–1
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Qadsiah favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Ahli in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Qadsiah6 matchesAl-Ahli6 matches
2.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/62.17 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
2.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.81 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots6/613.8 shots/match
6.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/65.33 shots/match
57% ●Possession6/650.8%
6.83 corners/match ●Corners6/63.83 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls6/613.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 8 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-QadsiahAl-Ahli
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headAl-Qadsiah — Al-Ahli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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