PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Faisaly 1–3 Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Ittihad won 1–3.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.091.27
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Ittihad beat Al-Faisaly 3–1. Recorded in this match (Al-Faisaly – Al-Ittihad): shots 10–12, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.09–1.27, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Faisaly, Al-Ittihad.

3.01 days ▲Rest daysAl-Faisaly · Al-Ittihad2.91 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl-FaisalyAl-IttihadBaseline
Rest days3.01 days2.91 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Al-Faisaly have a visible home split

weak

Al-Faisaly's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

8.75 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season7.29 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.75 shots/match7.29 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Al-Ittihad show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al-Ittihad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

7.29 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Faisaly · Al-Ittihad15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-FaisalyAl-IttihadBaseline
Shots7.29 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match13.9 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsAl-Faisaly 10 shots, Al-Ittihad 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsAl-Faisaly 2 shots, Al-Ittihad 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG1.27 xGAl-Faisaly 1.09 xG, Al-Ittihad 1.27 xG
  • Possession46%54%Al-Faisaly 46%, Al-Ittihad 54%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersAl-Faisaly 4 corners, Al-Ittihad 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsAl-Faisaly 8 fouls, Al-Ittihad 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardAl-Faisaly 0 cards, Al-Ittihad 1 card
  • Passes443 passes534 passesAl-Faisaly 443 passes, Al-Ittihad 534 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.1%87.8%Al-Faisaly 87.1%, Al-Ittihad 87.8%
  • Shots inside box5 shots4 shotsAl-Faisaly 5 shots, Al-Ittihad 4 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks6 blocksAl-Faisaly 2 blocks, Al-Ittihad 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save1 saveAl-Faisaly 1 save, Al-Ittihad 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesAl-Faisaly 2 offsides, Al-Ittihad 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 28′Steven BergwijnGoal · Al-Ittihad
  2. 43′Youssef En-NesyriGoal · Al-Ittihad
  3. Half-time
  4. 48′Hassan KadeshYellow card · Al-Ittihad
  5. 59′Youssef En-NesyriGoal · Al-Ittihad
  6. 87′Théo BongondaGoal · Al-Faisaly
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Al-Faisaly · 1 player changeThéo Bongonda
  • 63′Al-Ittihad · 2 player changesMukhtar Ali · Georginio Wijnaldum
  • 67′Al-Faisaly · 2 player changesHussain Al Zarie · Abdulaziz Al Bishi
  • 72′Al-Ittihad · 2 player changesMuath Faqeehi · Saleh Al-Shehri
  • 80′Al-Faisaly · 1 player changeAyman Fallatah
  • 80′Al-Ittihad · 1 player changeMarwan Al-Sahafi
  • 80′Al-Faisaly · 1 player changeSaud Haddad

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Al-Faisaly
  1. Fernando PachecoG
  2. Yaseen BarnawiD
  3. Abdoulaye SeckD
  4. Andrei GirottoD
  5. Mohammed Al-ShanqitiD
  6. Eid Al MuwalladM
  7. FlávioM
  8. Jaime SeoaneM
  9. Abdulrahman Al-ShereafM
  10. Christian BassogogF
  11. Alexandre MendyF
Al-Ittihad
  1. Predrag RajkovićG
  2. Danilo PereiraD
  3. Muhannad ShanqeetiD
  4. Hassan KadeshD
  5. Faris AbdiD
  6. Richard RíosM
  7. Ahmed Al-GhamdiM
  8. Dion LopyM
  9. Steven BergwijnM
  10. George IlenikhenaF
  11. Youssef En-NesyriF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Al-Faisaly
0Draws
2Al-Ittihad
Al-Ittihad — Al-Faisaly · Saudi Pro League1–0
Al-Faisaly — Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Faisaly favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Ittihad in 8 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Faisaly7 matchesAl-Ittihad7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.71 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.99 xG/match
7.29 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 15.3 shots/match
2.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.86 shots/match
48.1%Possession7/7● 50%
2.14 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.29 corners/match
9.57 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Sept 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-FaisalyAl-Ittihad
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headAl-Faisaly — Al-Ittihad
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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