PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

Rio Ave 3–3 CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

LLWLL
3–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rio Ave and CF Estrela Amadora drew 3–3.

Shots
1121
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
1.232.07
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rio Ave and CF Estrela Amadora drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Rio Ave – CF Estrela Amadora): shots 11–21, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 1.23–2.07, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rio Ave have a visible home split

weak

Rio Ave's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season7.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match7.33 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for CF Estrela Amadora.

8.14 days ▲Rest daysRio Ave · CF Estrela Amadora3.94 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRio AveCF Estrela AmadoraBaseline
Rest days8.14 days3.94 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

CF Estrela Amadora show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CF Estrela Amadora's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

7.33 shots/match ▲ShotsRio Ave · CF Estrela Amadora12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRio AveCF Estrela AmadoraBaseline
Shots7.33 shots/match12.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against16.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots21 shotsRio Ave 11 shots, CF Estrela Amadora 21 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsRio Ave 6 shots, CF Estrela Amadora 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.23 xG2.07 xGRio Ave 1.23 xG, CF Estrela Amadora 2.07 xG
  • Possession38%62%Rio Ave 38%, CF Estrela Amadora 62%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersRio Ave 4 corners, CF Estrela Amadora 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsRio Ave 16 fouls, CF Estrela Amadora 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsRio Ave 2 cards, CF Estrela Amadora 3 cards
  • Passes297 passes475 passesRio Ave 297 passes, CF Estrela Amadora 475 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.2%88.6%Rio Ave 83.2%, CF Estrela Amadora 88.6%
  • Shots inside box4 shots15 shotsRio Ave 4 shots, CF Estrela Amadora 15 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks7 blocksRio Ave 2 blocks, CF Estrela Amadora 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesRio Ave 2 saves, CF Estrela Amadora 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesRio Ave 0 offsides, CF Estrela Amadora 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 21′Ianis StoicaGoal · CF Estrela Amadora
  2. 26′Max ScholzeYellow card · CF Estrela Amadora
  3. 44′Francisco PetrassoYellow card · Rio Ave
  4. 45′Francisco PetrassoGoal · Rio Ave
  5. Half-time
  6. 53′Abraham MarcusGoal · CF Estrela Amadora
  7. 57′Roland GalčíkGoal · Rio Ave
  8. 58′Eddy DouéYellow card · CF Estrela Amadora
  9. 61′Abraham MarcusGoal · CF Estrela Amadora
  10. 76′Stefan LekovićYellow card · CF Estrela Amadora
  11. 79′Jalen BlesaPenalty goal · Rio Ave
  12. 90′Tamblé MonteiroYellow card · Rio Ave
  13. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 54′Rio Ave · 1 player changeRoland Galčík
  • 63′CF Estrela Amadora · 1 player changeJoan Jordán
  • 63′Rio Ave · 1 player changeTamblé Monteiro
  • 68′Rio Ave · 3 player changesMarios Vrousai · Malik Sellouki · Nelson Abbey
  • 71′CF Estrela Amadora · 1 player changeKevin Höög Jansson
  • 72′CF Estrela Amadora · 1 player changeJefferson Encada
  • 84′CF Estrela Amadora · 2 player changesAlisson Souza de Jesus · Bénito

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Rio Ave
  1. Ennio Van Der GouwG
  2. Simon GarciaD
  3. João ToméD
  4. Francisco PetrassoD
  5. Pedro AmaralD
  6. Andreas NdojM
  7. Tamás NikitscherM
  8. Sebastian ClemmensenM
  9. Diogo BezerraF
  10. Jalen BlesaF
  11. Miguel PatricioF
CF Estrela Amadora
  1. Léo LinckG
  2. Stefan LekovićD
  3. Max ScholzeD
  4. Luan PatrickD
  5. Rafa SoaresD
  6. Lovro ZvonarekM
  7. Eddy DouéM
  8. Santiago SerraM
  9. Ianis StoicaF
  10. Leandro AntonettiF
  11. Abraham MarcusF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Rio Ave
1Draws
1CF Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga2–1
CF Estrela Amadora — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga1–2
Rio Ave — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga2–0
CF Estrela Amadora — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga1–0
CF Estrela Amadora — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rio Ave favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · CF Estrela Amadora in 11 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rio Ave6 matchesCF Estrela Amadora6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2.33 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 2 goals/match
0.58 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.33 xG/match
7.33 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 12.8 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.17 shots/match
41.3%Possession6/6● 47.8%
3.17 corners/matchCorners6/6● 3.83 corners/match
9.33 fouls/matchFouls6/611.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Sept 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRio AveCF Estrela Amadora
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headRio Ave — CF Estrela Amadora
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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