PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

FC Alverca 1–0 Rio Ave · Primeira Liga

1–0Full-time analysis

Rio Ave

LWLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Alverca won 1–0.

Shots
236
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
3.30.29
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Alverca beat Rio Ave 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Alverca – Rio Ave): shots 23–6, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 3.3–0.29, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rio Ave's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rio Ave's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.71 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rio Ave have a visible away split

weak

Rio Ave's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season7.14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots5 shots/match7.14 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rio Ave show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rio Ave's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Alverca · Rio Ave7.14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC AlvercaRio AveBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match7.14 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match17.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots6 shotsFC Alverca 23 shots, Rio Ave 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsFC Alverca 6 shots, Rio Ave 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.3 xG0.29 xGFC Alverca 3.3 xG, Rio Ave 0.29 xG
  • Possession47%53%FC Alverca 47%, Rio Ave 53%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersFC Alverca 8 corners, Rio Ave 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsFC Alverca 12 fouls, Rio Ave 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsFC Alverca 2 cards, Rio Ave 2 cards
  • Passes351 passes401 passesFC Alverca 351 passes, Rio Ave 401 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.2%82.8%FC Alverca 81.2%, Rio Ave 82.8%
  • Shots inside box16 shots1 shotFC Alverca 16 shots, Rio Ave 1 shot
  • Blocked shots6 blocks1 blockFC Alverca 6 blocks, Rio Ave 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves5 savesFC Alverca 3 saves, Rio Ave 5 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideFC Alverca 2 offsides, Rio Ave 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 3′Dawda CamaraGoal · FC Alverca
  2. Half-time
  3. 87′Simon GarciaYellow card · Rio Ave
  4. 88′Davy GuiYellow card · FC Alverca
  5. 90′André VidigalYellow card · FC Alverca
  6. 90′Francisco PetrassoYellow card · Rio Ave
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 59′Rio Ave · 2 player changesMarios Vrousai · Sebastian Clemmensen
  • 68′FC Alverca · 2 player changesVivaldo · André Vidigal
  • 69′Rio Ave · 3 player changesMalik Sellouki · Caike · Tamblé Monteiro
  • 74′FC Alverca · 1 player changeMatheus França
  • 84′FC Alverca · 2 player changesZé Rafael · Yaya Bojang

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

FC Alverca
  1. Matheus MendesG
  2. Isaac JamesD
  3. Steven BaseyaD
  4. Diogo SpencerD
  5. Sergi GómezD
  6. Francisco ChissumbaD
  7. Davy GuiM
  8. Rayan LucasM
  9. ChiquinhoF
  10. Dawda CamaraF
  11. FigueiredoF
Rio Ave
  1. Vitor HugoG
  2. Simon GarciaD
  3. João ToméD
  4. Francisco PetrassoD
  5. Pedro AmaralD
  6. Andreas NdojM
  7. Tamás NikitscherM
  8. Miguel PatricioM
  9. Diogo BezerraF
  10. Jalen BlesaF
  11. Roland GalčíkF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Alverca
1Draws
0Rio Ave
Rio Ave — FC Alverca · Primeira Liga1–2
FC Alverca — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Alverca favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Rio Ave in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Alverca7 matchesRio Ave7 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.71 goals/match
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.14 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.54 xG/match
11.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/77.14 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72.57 shots/match
43.6% ●Possession7/743%
5 corners/match ●Corners7/73.14 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls7/79.14 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AlvercaRio Ave
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headFC Alverca — Rio Ave
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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