PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

CD Nacional 0–4 Famalicão · Primeira Liga

0–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Famalicão won 0–4.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
1.231.45
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Famalicão beat CD Nacional 4–0. Recorded in this match (CD Nacional – Famalicão): shots 12–12, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 1.23–1.45, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CD Nacional's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CD Nacional's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CD Nacional have a visible home split

weak

CD Nacional's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsCD Nacional 12 shots, Famalicão 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsCD Nacional 3 shots, Famalicão 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.23 xG1.45 xGCD Nacional 1.23 xG, Famalicão 1.45 xG
  • Possession55%45%CD Nacional 55%, Famalicão 45%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersCD Nacional 7 corners, Famalicão 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsCD Nacional 11 fouls, Famalicão 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsCD Nacional 3 cards, Famalicão 3 cards
  • Passes487 passes403 passesCD Nacional 487 passes, Famalicão 403 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.9%85.6%CD Nacional 88.9%, Famalicão 85.6%
  • Shots inside box7 shots7 shotsCD Nacional 7 shots, Famalicão 7 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksCD Nacional 3 blocks, Famalicão 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesCD Nacional 3 saves, Famalicão 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideCD Nacional 0 offsides, Famalicão 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 7′Georgios KoutsiasGoal · Famalicão
  2. 13′SorrisoGoal · Famalicão
  3. 28′Victor RofinoYellow card · Famalicão
  4. 40′Georgios KoutsiasGoal · Famalicão
  5. Half-time
  6. 63′Pedro BondoYellow card · Famalicão
  7. 67′SorrisoGoal · Famalicão
  8. 71′Williams KokoloYellow card · CD Nacional
  9. 74′Matheus DiasYellow card · CD Nacional
  10. 75′Finn van BreemenYellow card · Famalicão
  11. 77′Matheus DiasSecond yellow · CD Nacional
  12. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′CD Nacional · 3 player changesWilliams Kokolo · Ivanildo Fernandes · Stavros Gavriel
  • 61′CD Nacional · 1 player changePablo Messias Cardozo
  • 72′CD Nacional · 1 player changeWesley Gasolina
  • 73′Famalicão · 2 player changesPedro Santos · Leny Meyer
  • 80′Famalicão · 2 player changesUmar Abubakar · Óscar Aranda
  • 83′Famalicão · 1 player changeGustavo García

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

CD Nacional
  1. Renato MarinG
  2. Daniel De la CruzD
  3. José GomesD
  4. Francisco GonçalvesD
  5. Ze VitorD
  6. Matheus DiasM
  7. Miguel BaezaM
  8. Chiheb LabidiM
  9. Allen ObandoF
  10. Min-kyu SongF
  11. Matchoi DjalóF
Famalicão
  1. Lazar CarevićG
  2. Finn van BreemenD
  3. Victor RofinoD
  4. Rodrigo PinheiroD
  5. Pedro BondoD
  6. Marcos PeñaM
  7. Mathias De AmorimM
  8. Tamás SzűcsM
  9. SorrisoF
  10. Gil DiasF
  11. Georgios KoutsiasF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CD Nacional
1Draws
2Famalicão
Famalicão — CD Nacional · Primeira Liga1–0
CD Nacional — Famalicão · Primeira Liga0–1
CD Nacional — Famalicão · Primeira Liga2–1
Famalicão — CD Nacional · Primeira Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CD Nacional favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Famalicão in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CD Nacional7 matchesFamalicão7 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1 goal/match
1.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.99 xG/match
10.7 shots/match ▲Shots7/79.57 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 3.43 shots/match
50.9%Possession7/7● 53.9%
3.86 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5.43 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls7/711.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCD NacionalFamalicão
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headCD Nacional — Famalicão
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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