PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

Moreirense 3–1 Marítimo · Primeira Liga

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Moreirense won 3–1.

Shots
119
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
20.76
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Moreirense beat Marítimo 3–1. Recorded in this match (Moreirense – Marítimo): shots 11–9, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 2–0.76, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Moreirense have a visible home split

weak

Moreirense's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

8.67 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season7.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match7.33 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Moreirense show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Moreirense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.33 shots/match ▲ShotsMoreirense · Marítimo10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMoreirenseMarítimoBaseline
Shots7.33 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.2 fouls/matchFoulsMoreirense · Marítimo15.8 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricMoreirenseMarítimoBaseline
Fouls14.2 fouls/match15.8 fouls/match12.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsMoreirense 11 shots, Marítimo 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsMoreirense 5 shots, Marítimo 2 shots
  • Expected goals2 xG0.76 xGMoreirense 2 xG, Marítimo 0.76 xG
  • Possession38%62%Moreirense 38%, Marítimo 62%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersMoreirense 3 corners, Marítimo 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsMoreirense 14 fouls, Marítimo 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsMoreirense 1 card, Marítimo 3 cards
  • Passes335 passes539 passesMoreirense 335 passes, Marítimo 539 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.7%84%Moreirense 79.7%, Marítimo 84%
  • Shots inside box7 shots6 shotsMoreirense 7 shots, Marítimo 6 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks4 blocksMoreirense 2 blocks, Marítimo 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save1 saveMoreirense 1 save, Marítimo 1 save

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 8′Rodrigo AndradeYellow card · Marítimo
  2. 11′Kiko BondosoYellow card · Moreirense
  3. 17′Manuel MendonçaGoal · Moreirense
  4. 28′Leonardo VonićGoal · Moreirense
  5. Half-time
  6. 59′Maxime DominguezYellow card · Marítimo
  7. 79′Romain CorreiaGoal · Marítimo
  8. 86′Alexandre ParsemainPenalty goal · Moreirense
  9. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Marítimo · 2 player changesMaxime Dominguez · Israel Ayuma
  • 61′Moreirense · 2 player changesAlexandre Parsemain · Landerson
  • 69′Moreirense · 1 player changeRodrigo Alonso
  • 71′Marítimo · 1 player changeSamuel Bamba
  • 80′Moreirense · 2 player changesKevyn Monteiro · Chipyoka Songa
  • 81′Marítimo · 2 player changesMons Bassouamina · Maurice Boakye

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Moreirense
1Draws
1Marítimo
Moreirense — Marítimo · Primeira Liga0–1
Marítimo — Moreirense · Primeira Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Moreirense favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Marítimo in 10 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Moreirense6 matchesMarítimo6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.17 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
0.7 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 0.96 xG/match
7.33 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 10.5 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 3.17 shots/match
36.2%Possession6/6● 45.8%
2.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 3 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls6/615.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Sept 2026, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMoreirenseMarítimo
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headMoreirense — Marítimo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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