PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

FC Utrecht 1–6 PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

1–6Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 1–6.

Shots
130
Shots on target
114
Expected goals
0.33.58
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat FC Utrecht 6–1. Recorded in this match (FC Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven): shots 1–30, shots on target 1–14, expected goals 0.3–3.58, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.33 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Utrecht · PSV Eindhoven24.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC UtrechtPSV EindhovenBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match24.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against22.7 shots/match4.33 shots/match16 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

42%PossessionFC Utrecht · PSV Eindhoven● 62.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC UtrechtPSV EindhovenBaseline
Possession42%62.3%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots1 shot30 shotsFC Utrecht 1 shot, PSV Eindhoven 30 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot14 shotsFC Utrecht 1 shot, PSV Eindhoven 14 shots
  • Expected goals0.3 xG3.58 xGFC Utrecht 0.3 xG, PSV Eindhoven 3.58 xG
  • Possession34%66%FC Utrecht 34%, PSV Eindhoven 66%
  • Corners0 corners13 cornersFC Utrecht 0 corners, PSV Eindhoven 13 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls8 foulsFC Utrecht 21 fouls, PSV Eindhoven 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards1 cardFC Utrecht 5 cards, PSV Eindhoven 1 card
  • Passes297 passes562 passesFC Utrecht 297 passes, PSV Eindhoven 562 passes
  • Pass accuracy74.8%90.4%FC Utrecht 74.8%, PSV Eindhoven 90.4%
  • Shots inside box1 shot15 shotsFC Utrecht 1 shot, PSV Eindhoven 15 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks5 blocksFC Utrecht 0 blocks, PSV Eindhoven 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves7 saves0 savesFC Utrecht 7 saves, PSV Eindhoven 0 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideFC Utrecht 1 offside, PSV Eindhoven 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 6′Artem StepanovGoal · FC Utrecht
  2. 11′Ruben van BommelGoal · PSV Eindhoven
  3. 15′Guus OfferhausYellow card · FC Utrecht
  4. 34′Dani De WitYellow card · FC Utrecht
  5. 45′Guus TilGoal · PSV Eindhoven
  6. Half-time
  7. 49′Arthur ZagreYellow card · FC Utrecht
  8. 72′Armando ObispoYellow card · PSV Eindhoven
  9. 76′Mauro JúniorGoal · PSV Eindhoven
  10. 85′Vasilis BarkasYellow card · FC Utrecht
  11. 86′Sven MijnansGoal · PSV Eindhoven
  12. 86′Sven MijnansPenalty missed · PSV Eindhoven
  13. 88′Guus TilGoal · PSV Eindhoven
  14. 90′Siebe HoremansYellow card · FC Utrecht
  15. 90′Sergiño DestGoal · PSV Eindhoven
  16. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 56′FC Utrecht · 1 player changePer Kloosterboer
  • 61′FC Utrecht · 2 player changesAdrian Blake · Zidane Iqbal
  • 65′PSV Eindhoven · 1 player changePaul Wanner
  • 67′PSV Eindhoven · 1 player changeEsmir Bajraktarević
  • 78′PSV Eindhoven · 1 player changeSven Mijnans
  • 79′PSV Eindhoven · 1 player changeAmir Bouhamdi
  • 84′PSV Eindhoven · 1 player changeYarek Gasiorowski
  • 84′FC Utrecht · 2 player changesEmmanuel Owen · Sem van Duijn

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Utrecht
2Draws
3PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie4–3
FC Utrecht — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–2
PSV Eindhoven — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie2–2
FC Utrecht — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie2–5
FC Utrecht — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Utrecht favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Utrecht3 matchesPSV Eindhoven3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 4.33 goals/match
4.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1 goal/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 3.4 xG/match
8.33 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 24.7 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 11.3 shots/match
42%Possession3/3● 62.3%
3.33 corners/matchCorners3/3● 9.67 corners/match
19 fouls/matchFouls3/37 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 14:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headFC Utrecht — PSV Eindhoven
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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