Eredivisie · 2026

Willem II Tilburg 2–2 SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Willem II Tilburg and SC Heerenveen drew 2–2.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.71.35
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Willem II Tilburg and SC Heerenveen drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Willem II Tilburg – SC Heerenveen): shots 12–13, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.7–1.35, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Heerenveen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SC Heerenveen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWillem II TilburgSC HeerenveenBaseline
Shots—15 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against—18.3 shots/match17.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsWillem II Tilburg 12 shots, SC Heerenveen 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsWillem II Tilburg 5 shots, SC Heerenveen 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.7 xG1.35 xGWillem II Tilburg 1.7 xG, SC Heerenveen 1.35 xG
  • Possession39%61%Willem II Tilburg 39%, SC Heerenveen 61%
  • Corners9 corners7 cornersWillem II Tilburg 9 corners, SC Heerenveen 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls5 foulsWillem II Tilburg 9 fouls, SC Heerenveen 5 fouls
  • Passes320 passes517 passesWillem II Tilburg 320 passes, SC Heerenveen 517 passes
  • Pass accuracy76.6%87.4%Willem II Tilburg 76.6%, SC Heerenveen 87.4%
  • Shots inside box8 shots11 shotsWillem II Tilburg 8 shots, SC Heerenveen 11 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksWillem II Tilburg 2 blocks, SC Heerenveen 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesWillem II Tilburg 3 saves, SC Heerenveen 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesWillem II Tilburg 2 offsides, SC Heerenveen 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Eser Gürbüz · Willem II Tilburg · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 74′ · 0.01 xG · on targetUriel van Aalst · Willem II Tilburg · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKasper Boogaard · Willem II Tilburg · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedUriel van Aalst · Willem II Tilburg · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOliver Braude · SC Heerenveen · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHidde ter Avest · Willem II Tilburg · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOliver Braude · SC Heerenveen · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 54′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJaden Slory · Willem II Tilburg · 34′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 40′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEser Gürbüz · Willem II Tilburg · 29′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJaden Slory · Willem II Tilburg · 43′ · 0.10 xG · on targetOliver Braude · SC Heerenveen · 77′ · 0.12 xG · goalDevin Haen · Willem II Tilburg · 24′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 64′ · 0.14 xG · goalNolhan Courtens · SC Heerenveen · 48′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedLuuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 80′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedOliver Braude · SC Heerenveen · 86′ · 0.20 xG · on targetJaden Slory · Willem II Tilburg · 70′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedUriel van Aalst · Willem II Tilburg · 61′ · 0.30 xG · goalDevin Haen · Willem II Tilburg · 82′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Willem II Tilburg: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.67 xG. SC Heerenveen: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Uriel van Aalst · Willem II Tilburg · 61′Devin Haen · Willem II Tilburg · 82′Jacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 64′Oliver Braude · SC Heerenveen · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Willem II Tilburg 1.67 xG · SC Heerenveen 1.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Willem II Tilburg
1Draws
3SC Heerenveen
SC Heerenveen — Willem II Tilburg · Eredivisie3–1
Willem II Tilburg — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie1–2
Willem II Tilburg — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie0–0
SC Heerenveen — Willem II Tilburg · Eredivisie2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

14.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.73 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Willem II Tilburg / SC Heerenveen

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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